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December 18, 2025

Tx Summit Explores California’s Link to Rest of West

By Hudson Sangree

SCOTTSDALE, Ariz. — The often tense relationship between California and other Western states occupied much of this year’s Transmission Summit West, where the debate focused on whether states such as Idaho and Wyoming should draw closer to the Golden State or keep their distance.

California Transmission Summit
Transmission Summit West and the Mountain West Renewables Summit took place in side-by-side meeting rooms at a resort in Scottsdale, Ariz. | © RTO Insider

The summit was held in conjunction with the Mountain West Renewables Summit, both organized by Infocast, at the Scottsdale Resort at McCormick Ranch.

Some speakers at the summits argued that a Western RTO made eminent sense, while others said their states didn’t want to feed California’s appetite for renewable energy without seeing enough benefits in return.

Arizona, for instance, is a politically conservative state with low electricity costs, said Michelle De Blasi, executive director of the Arizona Energy Consortium, a group that promotes the state’s energy industry. Arizona has the nation’s largest nuclear power plant, the 4,000-MW Palo Verde Generating Station, and one of the country’s youngest coal fleets, De Blasi noted. Both produce low-priced electricity that benefits Arizona ratepayers, she said.

Arizona’s electric utilities will take California’s solar power, particularly when there’s negative pricing, but they haven’t found interstate cooperation sufficiently useful to justify major investments, she said.

“It hasn’t made sense for them to go and build power lines and build generation feeding outside of the state,” De Blasi said. “We did not want to be a giant outlet for California.”

The state’s largest utility, Arizona Public Service, is a member of CAISO’s Western Energy Imbalance Market. Salt River Project and Tucson Electric Power plan to join in 2020 and 2022, respectively.

California Transmission Summit
Letting California access out-of-state renewables, including through new transmission, was the topic for (left to right) Holly Taylor, Western Interstate Energy Board; Michelle De Blasi, Arizona Energy Consortium; Michael Colvin, Environmental Defense Fund; Doug Marker, Bonneville Power Administration; and David Smith, Transwest Express. | © RTO Insider

Some utilities of the interior West have determined the savings achieved through the EIM — a wholly voluntary, real-time interstate trading market — make it worth rubbing shoulders with CAISO, despite their states’ political differences with California. CAISO says the EIM saved its nine-member utilities more than $736 million in the past five years.

Interior states aren’t keen to get much closer to California than the loosely knit EIM, however.

Large areas of Wyoming and Idaho are served by PacifiCorp, an EIM member. But utility commissioners from those states expressed misgivings at the summit about serving California’s needs with renewable energy, paying for transmission upgrades or joining a CAISO-led RTO.

Who Pays for New Transmission?

During a panel titled “Enabling California to Access Out-of-State Resources,” David Smith described the TransWest Express, a proposed 730-mile transmission project that would link the wind-producing areas of Wyoming to Southern California via Utah and Nevada. Currently there’s little transmission linkage between California and Wyoming.

“TransWest is a project that would fill in that gap from Wyoming into the existing transmission capacity,” said Smith, the project’s director of engineering and operations.

The problem is, who pays for the project’s estimated $3 billion cost?

California would receive the energy to help fulfill its ambitious clean energy goals. Under last year’s landmark bill, SB 100, the state must rely entirely on carbon-free electricity sources by 2045.

Wyoming and other states would export that electricity, helping to offset the loss of coal production. A company controlled by billionaire Philip Anschutz, who also owns vast wind farms in Wyoming, would develop the project.

Smith suggested the costs of the new high-voltage lines should be shared among those who would benefit.

Public and private investors are part of the plan. The Western Area Power Administration is supporting the project through its Transmission Infrastructure Program, and the federal Bureau of Land Management is a backer. (See Wyoming Wind Power Revs up, but is it too much?)

Allocating costs for new western transmission provoked a lively discussion among (left to right) Steven Johnson, Washington Utilities and Transportation Commission; Idaho PUC Commissioner Kristine Raper; and Wyoming PSC Commissioner Mary Throne. | © RTO Insider

Kristine Raper, a member of the Idaho Public Utilities Commission and an outspoken critic of California’s policy-driven energy goals, said she doesn’t see much upside to the proposal.

“Why would you socialize the cost of transmission in order for California to meet its renewable energy goals?” Raper said. “Idaho doesn’t have the same goals as California does in order to meet renewable energy,” nor does it need out-of-state electricity to meet its needs, she said.

Wyoming Public Service Commissioner Mary Throne expressed similar reservations in panels on Western regionalization and the allocation of transmission costs. She said Wyoming’s wind farms are no substitute for its once thriving coal industry, which has been shutting down.

“The number of renewable jobs will never replace the coal jobs we’re losing,” Throne said. “Coal to wind is not an even trade in Wyoming.”

Coal isn’t a “four-letter word” in Wyoming, like it is in California, she said.

“We kinda like coal in Wyoming,” Throne said. “It pays our bills.”

California Transmission Summit
(Left to right) New Mexico PRC Commissioner Cynthia Hall; Wyoming PSC Commissioner Mary Throne; and Utah PSC Chair Thad Levar, discussed options for a western regional market. | © RTO Insider

Regionalization Debate

The idea of forming an organized Western electricity market, especially one with California leading it, generated even more controversy than the transmission line proposal.

California Transmission Summit
Johnny Casana, Pattern Energy | © RTO Insider

In a presentation called the “Rationale for Western Grid Integration,” Johnny Casana, a senior manager with Pattern Energy Group, a San Francisco-based renewable energy firm, laid out his case for regional cooperation.

Historically, much of the West’s transmission has been built to serve load in California, which has a huge population compared with the sparsely inhabited states of the Intermountain West, Casana said.

In a decade, wind and solar projects may be cheaper to build than keeping natural gas and coal-fired generators running, he said. Inexpensive energy from windy states such as Wyoming and sunny ones such as Arizona could fuel the cities of the West Coast, benefiting all involved, he contended.

“This is a world we’re going into that is unlike the world we come from,” Casana said. “There’s a lot of winners across the board when we think of ourselves as a unified region.”

Compared to the West, the eastern U.S. is far more connected with greater generating capacity, he noted. RTOs are the norm in the Eastern Interconnection; the West needs to catch up, Casana argued.

“We have a shared destiny with our neighbors,” he said.

Some speakers agreed, particularly environmentalists from California advocating for a greater dependence on out-of-state renewables. The proposed expansion of the Western EIM, a five-minute market, to an extended day-ahead market (EDAM) is seen by many as the next step in the evolution of the West’s energy landscape.

Samuel Golding, president of Community Choice Partners, a Los Angeles group that advocates for community choice aggregators (CCAs), moderated a panel on the EDAM. Representatives of CAISO, the EIM and environmental groups spoke on the panel, supporting the move. Like the EIM, they said, the EDAM would be voluntary, with utilities keeping control of their assets and allowed to leave at will.

CAISO’s proposed extended day-ahead energy trading market was examined by (second from left, to right) Samuel Golding, Community Choice Partners; Don Fuller, CAISO; EIM Governing Body Vice Chair John Prescott; Craig Lewis, Clean Coalition; and Kathleen Anderson, Idaho Power. | © RTO Insider

“If you don’t like it … you can get out of it the next day,” said Craig Lewis, executive director of the Clean Coalition, a nonprofit that advocates for a quicker transition to renewable energy. He criticized some from the interior West for disregarding the potential windfall if they join with California and help serve its energy goals.

“There’s this massive economic development to your states, and it doesn’t seem to be part of the consideration,” Lewis said.

During the panel on transmission cost allocation, Raper said the EDAM could increase the likelihood of a Western RTO. But she said there’s a slim chance other states will join an organized market whose leaders are chosen by California’s elected officials.

Members of CAISO’s governing body are appointed by California’s governor and confirmed by its State Senate — meaning the ISO’s agenda is dictated by the state’s progressive policy goals, she said. CAISO takes control, but not ownership, of the transmission lines of its member utilities. A Western RTO could only happen if California agrees to a board composed of representatives from other states, she said.

“It would be irresponsible for me as a regulator to cede all the assets of my utilities to California,” Raper said.

Stakeholder Soapbox: Balancing Between States, PJM

By Ann McCabe, David A. Svanda and Betty Ann Kane

Given the costs and increasing impacts on resource choices that PJM market rules impose on states, states would benefit from a larger voice at PJM. Compared with its counterparts in other regions, the Organization of PJM States Inc. (OPSI) has less formal engagement and influence on PJM rules and decisions. Strengthening the role of OPSI’s 14 members (13 states and D.C.) would help ensure that states have meaningful opportunities to influence PJM’s rules and policies and could benefit everyone: states, retail and wholesale customers, and PJM.

One example of a PJM rule that impacts state renewable policies and costs to customers is PJM’s proposed change to its capacity market, the expansion of its minimum offer price rule currently under review at FERC. The proposal is estimated to cost customers in the PJM region an additional $5.7 billion per year.

PJM

PJM’s footprint | PJM

While the Federal Power Act generally provides PJM states a say over critical energy matters such as resource adequacy planning — how future energy needs will be met — states have seen their influence wane as PJM market rules and policies weight the scales that shape the mix and cost of capacity resources. As a result, PJM’s markets operate increasingly at odds with state energy goals, often at consumer expense.

Like many RTOs, PJM has an official auxiliary group through which states in theory can make their collective voices heard on policies and market rules: OPSI. Consisting largely of state public utility commissioners, OPSI monitors PJM, submits comments and interfaces with the RTO’s board and staff. Unlike state organizations in other RTOs, however, OPSI plays little more than an advisory role. PJM’s current structure leaves states without power to vote on proposed market rules or to file alternatives with FERC.

States’ abilities to directly influence RTO actions vary by region across the U.S. PJM states sit at one end of the spectrum, without voting ability and unable to file challenges with federal regulators. On the other end, states in SPP wield the most authority of any RTO state organization over generation and capacity matters. Taking a look at how RTOs in other parts of the country allow for state engagement is instructive as states in PJM strive for more voice and a better balance between their individual goals and the important role of the regional grid and markets. We overview several RTO/state models in a recent white paper.

Making PJM’s State Committee Work for States

Inspired by the examples of other RTO state committees, here are a few ways to increase the role and influence of PJM states:

  • Create stronger communication and collaboration between PJM and states: RTOs in other regions give deference to the views of state committees regardless of their rules. They prioritize a constructive working relationship.
  • Provide regular opportunities to provide formal input: OPSI should be able to weigh in on the design of PJM’s capacity market and transmission planning, both of which influence billions of dollars of supply investments and customer impacts.
  • Back OPSI’s feedback with bylaws: PJM’s governing documents could have specific opportunities for states’ input and require the RTO to say how it took OPSI’s input into account.
  • Give states more power to determine their own capacity needs: By adopting a provision like that available in MISO, individual states would be able to set their own targets for capacity reserves — rather than relying on a single target set by PJM — to better reflect state needs and energy goals.
  • Give states the option to supply their own capacity needs: A so-called “fixed resource requirement option” would give states and utilities more flexibility to meet demand on a megawatt-by-megawatt basis.
  • Give OPSI the power to make FERC filings: OPSI could be given the power to make its own filings to FERC under FPA Section 205, giving the states more power over resource adequacy planning.
  • Give states a role in selecting PJM’s board members: In MISO, for example, the state committee is often represented on the search committee for the RTO’s board members.
  • Require PJM to file states’ alternative proposals: PJM could have a provision where it must file an alternative approved by some percentage of OPSI members. In ISO-NE, the percentage is at least 60% of New England Power Pool participants.

These suggestions are not new, but the events of recent years renew their urgency: PJM is proposing significant changes to its market while searching for its next CEO, public utility commissioners have ongoing concerns about consumer costs, and many states are racing toward a renewable energy future.

Changing the balance of power between PJM and its states is critical to prepare the nation’s largest energy grid for the new energy era that lies ahead.

 

Ann McCabe returned to consulting after her term as a commissioner at the Illinois Commerce Commission (March 2012 to January 2017). Her recent clients include The Climate Registry, PJM Clean Energy Advocates and the Mid-America Regulatory Conference (MARC). While a commissioner, she was president of the OPSI board and of MARC and chaired NARUC’s subcommittee on Nuclear Issues-Waste Disposal.

David A. Svanda, a principal at Svanda & Coy Consulting, follows PJM, SPP, MISO and developments in other regions. He served as a Michigan PSC commissioner from 1995 to 2003, during which time he was President of MARC and NARUC. In those roles, he was an active participant in creating the concept and reality of regional state committees.

Betty Ann Kane served on the District of Columbia Public Service Commission for three terms (March 2007 to December 2018), including as Chairman (March 2009 to November 2018), and on the NARUC Board of Directors. She served as chairman of MACRUC and president of the National Regulatory Research Institute. Now a consultant, she has over 40 years of experience in public and private sector energy, finance and management.

NERC Previews Supply Chain Survey

By Rich Heidorn Jr.

ATLANTA — NERC last week gave the GridSecCon 2019 conference a preview of results from its supply chain data request, which sought to fill a gap in its knowledge of low-impact bulk electric system cyber systems.

The request on the “the nature and number” of low-impact systems was a recommendation of the staff supply chain report approved by NERC’s Board of Trustees in May. (See “Supply Chain Report Recommends Expanding Standards,” NERC Standards News Briefs: May 8-9, 2019.)

Because utilities are not required to inventory such equipment, “we just don’t have a good feeling for what the magnitude of [low-impact assets are] compared to what we have for mediums and highs,” said Howard Gugel, NERC’s vice president for engineering and standards.

Gugel said NERC will provide the Member Representatives Committee a report at its Nov. 5 meeting with an anonymized summary of the results.

“[There was] a lot of really interesting information in it. There were some things that somewhat surprised me,” Gugel said.

One finding: Two-thirds of the assets had external connectivity. “Whether it was a high, medium or low [asset]; whether it was entities that had a … blend of all of those [types] or strictly just had lows, it was pretty much a 2:1 ratio,” Gugel said.

He also said NERC is having discussions with utilities and industry trade groups, including the North American Transmission Forum, on developing a certification system for suppliers. The participants are examining existing programs “to see whether or not some combination of the existing certifications could be adequate in this space or whether or not some sort of a new certification needs to be developed, and who would be managing that,” Gugel said.

During a panel discussion on supply chain risks, Ginger Wright, manager of the energy-cyber portfolio at Idaho National Laboratory (INL), discussed how the lab decides what technologies deserve analysis and testing. One consideration: “consequence or impact.”

“If misuse of a certain device could result in a catastrophic impact on the grid, that’s an important device. But we also had to think about the ubiquity of a given device,” she said. “If a device is used either everywhere, or a great deal regionally, then … even though it does not have in itself a catastrophic impact, because of the ubiquity of its use, it might be a very good idea to take a look at that.”

Another consideration is the lifespan of the device. “Everyone here knows that [operational technology] devices live a very long time — much longer than the three to five years for most IT devices. And so, the longer something would be present on the grid, the longer the risk would persist,” she added.

Dave Whitehead, COO of Schweitzer Engineering Laboratories, said his company has responded to counterfeit threats by doing security ratings of devices and developing a database of vendors. At its Pullman, Wash., factory, the company uses microscopes to identify fakes, which under magnification are revealed to have missing bond wires or other defects.

Bryan Owen, cybersecurity manager for OSIsoft, which makes application software for real-time data management, offered what he called “one crazy comment” as the 45-minute discussion ended.

“I think we should also open our minds to [the idea that] trustworthy systems can be built out of untrustworthy components. Just think back to the day when hard drives were so bad and then out came the RAID [Redundant Array of Inexpensive Disks]. Even though that wasn’t a cyber fix, it was a reliability fix. … There is research suggesting that this is possible, so I would open ourselves to taking advantage of all possible solutions.”

Wright mentioned that INL will hold a Cyber Resilient Supply Chain Technologies Workshop at the Hyatt Regency hotel in San Francisco on May 21, 2020. The deadline for submission of papers is Jan. 13. The lab will be releasing additional details on the event shortly.

In a separate panel, Laura Schepis, senior director of national security for the Edison Electric Institute, identified what she calls “the supply web” as among her biggest concerns. “We need everybody’s great minds on that,” she said.

Offshore Wind Leaders: Future is Now in the US

By Michael Kuser

BOSTON — Federal and state officials joined offshore wind developers last week in giving about 60 members of the Environmental Business Council of New England (EBCNE) an upbeat update on the nascent U.S. offshore industry.

The following is some of what we heard Oct. 22 about a burgeoning sector that has about 19 GW of projects in view, more than 80% of today’s total global installed capacity of 23 GW.

Learning the Process

“We couldn’t be more excited to be deploying a real climate change solution that also has these benefits in terms of job creation, economic development and securing a clean energy resource,” Massachusetts Energy and Environmental Affairs Secretary Kathleen Theoharides said. “Offshore wind also coincides with our winter peak in terms of demand and gets us away from some of the higher-priced, dirtiest resources in our energy mix.”

New England Offshore Wind
Massachusetts Energy and Environmental Affairs Secretary Kathleen Theoharides speaks on offshore wind energy issues to the Environmental Business Council of New England on Oct. 22 in Boston. | © RTO Insider

The state’s strategy focuses on energy efficiency, cleaning up the energy supply and electrifying the transportation and building sectors, she said.

“While it has been a stressful summer in terms of the federal permitting side … we are learning about the permitting process and helping the rest of the industry understand what those steps are going to be,” Theoharides said.

offshore wind
Massachusetts Energy and Environmental Affairs Secretary Kathleen Theoharides | © RTO Insider

New England renewable energy advocates in September expressed skepticism about federal officials’ claims to be acting in the public interest by delaying the final permits for the 800-MW Vineyard Wind project off the coast of Massachusetts. (See Renewable Backers Decry Vineyard Wind Delay.)

The U.S. Bureau of Ocean Management announced in August it would delay issuing the final environmental impact statement for the project in order to conduct an expanded analysis of “cumulative impacts.”

Massachusetts officials in “a couple of weeks” will announce winners of the state’s second solicitation for up to 800 MW in additional offshore wind energy, Theoharides said.

Federal Commitment

James Bennett, program manager for renewable energy at BOEM, highlighted the “massive change” in offshore wind development caused by Equinor’s $42 million lease in the New York Bight in 2016.

Offshore wind
James Bennett, BOEM | © RTO Insider

“Everybody turned their head and said, ‘Oh my God, this is for real,’” Bennett said, noting that deal was followed by a lease off North Carolina and another off Massachusetts, where three areas auctioned for $135 million apiece last year after being left on the table two years earlier. (See Mass. Offshore Lease Auction Nets Record $405 Million.)

BOEM now has 15 leases up and down the East Coast, he said.

“Do we have steel in the water? No, but next year we’re going to have actual steel in the water off of Virginia and hopefully very soon after that up here in Massachusetts,” Bennett said.

“The next decade is very promising,” he said. “We are looking at additional leasing off of New York … and we’ve been working on our regulatory processes, refining them and streamlining them so we can move as quickly as possible with the lessons that we’re learning over time. And, of course, the state offshore wind procurements are phenomenal in making sure that there’s plenty of support in moving forward, and industry continues to demonstrate its commitment.”

New England offshore wind
Left to right: Daniel Moon, EBCNE; Massachusetts Energy Secretary Kathleen Theoharides; Robert LaBelle, BOEM; Matthew Morrissey, Ørsted US; Stephen Pike, Massachusetts Clean Energy Center; Seth Kaplan, Mayflower Wind; James Bennett, BOEM; H. Curtis Spalding, Brown University; and Lars Pedersen, Vineyard Wind | © RTO Insider

Bennett said that while his agency has been handling offshore wind leases state by state, it nonetheless favored a regional approach. He mentioned that the Gulf of Maine Intergovernmental Renewable Energy Task Force, organized by BOEM with the participation off Maine, Massachusetts and New Hampshire, will hold its first meeting on Dec. 12.

“We’re all committed to getting this right,” Bennett said. “The [permitting delay] is not the first bump in the road, and it’s not going to be the last. We’re going to have more over the next decade with potentially 12 projects being put in place up and down the East Coast. We’re going to run into issues like transmission, like ports, like construction vessels … and we’re going to deal with them.

Robert LaBelle, BOEM | © RTO Insider

“At BOEM, we’re going to work through this issue and we’re going to make it work, and we’re going to have the stakeholders and the developers and the government, both federal and state, work together to come up with solutions,” Bennett said.

Robert LaBelle, a retired associate director at BOEM, is now helping his home state of New Hampshire prepare for the three-state panel organized by the agency to pursue development of offshore wind in the Gulf of Maine.

“I spent a lot of years doing ocean planning, and now that I’m just a free citizen of New Hampshire, I’d like to see some ocean doing, so I’m recommending that all you folks who are in a position to make a difference reconsider your commitment to working collaboratively,” LaBelle said.

‘Great Expectations’

“I’m driven by fundamental trends [and] am concerned on behalf of my children about climate change and global warming and what it will do,” Vineyard Wind CEO Lars Pedersen said. “I have seen this industry transform from a technology-driven niche … into a big business.”

Lars Pedersen, Vineyard Wind | © RTO Insider

Pedersen recalled planning bids in Europe in 2012 when someone proposed aiming for 100 euros/MWh as a goal for 2020.

“We were way off: It happened much, much quicker than we thought, and it’s because the fundamentals are really good for this industry,” Pedersen said. “And, also, the fundamentals are really strong here in the Northeast. You have high winds offshore, shallow water, good seabed, a lot of people living on the coastline, and you’re transforming your energy system away from fossil and nuclear plants into renewable energies.”

Bloomberg New Energy Finance projects offshore wind costs of 64 euros/MWh by 2020 and 60 euros/MWh by 2025.

A joint venture between Avangrid Renewables and Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners, Vineyard Wind in August bid for the second Massachusetts solicitation by offering several options on up to 800 MW of additional offshore wind.

The state leaders have done their job, as has the team at BOEM, but now it’s up to the industry to develop offshore wind, said Matthew Morrissey, head of New England markets for Ørsted US Offshore Wind, which also bid in the second solicitation.

Matthew Morrissey, Ørsted US | © RTO Insider

“There are great opportunities that come from a new industry in America. There are great expectations,” Morrissey said. “Offshore presents a very compelling case for the development of clean energy at scale to deal with the problem we have now replacing fossil generation coming offline,” and also reinvents the old maritime ports along the Eastern seaboard, he said.

offshore wind
Stephen Pike, Massachusetts Clean Energy Center | © RTO Insider

Stephen Pike, CEO of the Massachusetts Clean Energy Center, recounted a day in 2014 when it became apparent that the Cape Wind project would not be moving forward, and a couple state officials thought the failure set the industry back at least 10 years.

“To think that we would be standing on the statehouse lawn less than two years later watching the governor sign that first-in-the-nation path to market legislation was really remarkable,” Pike said. “Never mind that the law set up an actual solicitation that less than two years after that ended up with a project whose pricing was way below what anyone could have imagined even six months prior to that.” (See Mass., R.I. Pick 1,200 MW in Offshore Wind Bids.)

The agency is now focused on developing the supply chain and workforce training, Pike said.

Fast Enough?

Curtis Spalding, Brown University | © RTO Insider

“Two degrees is in the rearview mirror,” said H. Curtis Spalding of the Institute at Brown for Environment and Society. The former EPA regional administrator for New England during the Obama administration was referring to the temperature increase threshold (equivalent to about 3.6 F) to reaching irreversible climate change.

“There’s too much to do and too short a time to stop the temperature from rising 2 degrees,” Spalding said. “What does that mean? That means climate change is going to affect and cascade so many parts of our community going forward.”

Seth Kaplan, Mayflower Wind | © RTO Insider

After two major flooding events, the threat from climate change is felt more in Houston than it is in New England, he said. “The context is going to shift.”

Seth Kaplan, director of permitting and development for Mayflower Wind, came to the joint venture between Shell New Energies and EDP Renewables after working five years at the latter firm planning onshore wind and solar and before that, 16 years at the Conservation Law Foundation.

“It’s hard to avoid the conclusion that the renewable energy industry isn’t aggressive enough,” Kaplan said. “If you look at the world through a climate frame, we need to build so much so quickly in order to meet our climate goals, that the strictures and barriers that are just the normal stuff of business are annoying if you’re trying to meet those goals.”

OMS Panel Debates Merits of MISO-SPP Seams Projects

By Amanda Durish Cook

NEW ORLEANS — At the Organization of MISO States’ annual meeting last week, where MISO-SPP seams needs took center stage, North Dakota Public Service Commissioner Julie Fedorchak set the tone by opening a panel with a pun.

“We’re bursting at the seams,” she said, then drummed a “ba-dum-tsh” beat on the podium.

OMS
Steve Gaw, AWEA | © RTO Insider

American Wind Energy Association and Advanced Power Alliance’s Steve Gaw commended state regulators for bringing attention to the seam this year. He said the discussion has earned FERC’s attention and is stimulating action at the federal level.

“It’s immensely helpful to understanding the future and where we’re going,” he said during the Thursday meeting. “The bottom line is, if you don’t do robust planning, you won’t have the idea of where the needs are.”

“We’re not seeing the interregional planning process as effective as we’d like,” Clean Grid Alliance’s Natalie McIntire added.

MISO has never recommended an interregional project with SPP, while it’s close to embarking on its first major interregional transmission project with MISO, PJM Poised for 1st Major Interregional Project.)

OMS
Natalie McIntire, Clean Grid Alliance | © RTO Insider

But Entergy’s Charles Long said too little is known about future transmission use patterns to build a major MISO-SPP interregional project. He urged the RTOs to develop market-to-market efficiencies first.

“What really concerns me about the seams is the thinking that we need to build our way out of it. … Our big concern is that we would fund transmission that in five or 10 years won’t be useful,” Long said. “To make the assumption that every problem can be fixed by transmission is the wrong assumption. We’re getting to the point of diminishing returns on transmission.”

Long also argued that if electric vehicle adoption takes off, the distribution system will need upgrades and buildouts “far before” the transmission system will.

OMS
Charles Long, Entergy | © RTO Insider

Long’s arguments reiterated those his company recently made in response to the MISO and SPP market monitors’ solicitation of stakeholder feedback on the interregional processes. (See related story, “Entergy Comment on Seams ‘Raises Eyebrows,’” MISO, SPP States Ponder Look at Interregional Planning.)

His arguments found traction with other panelists.

“You should eat your peas before you have dessert,” agreed NRG Energy’s Travis Kavulla. He encouraged RTOs and utilities to first make software upgrades and create “closer automation between two systems” before moving to “fancy new capital assets.”

Kavulla said the country’s regulatory framework is generally bad at forcing utilities to leverage their existing capital assets for more efficiencies.

But McIntire said the future is clear: more renewable generation.

“MISO says its greatest asset is its footprint diversity. And if that’s true, footprint diversity should extend to the seams to have this sort of mutual aid society,” McIntire said.

OMS MISO SPP seams
Travis Kavulla, NRG | © RTO Insider

Long said it’s worth remembering that MISO and SPP have completed a lot of analysis already on possible seams projects.

“If you want the yardstick to be how many seams wires to go into the air, then you could say it’s slow. But I think you have to be careful in how you measure success. You need to measure twice and cut once,” Long said.

Gaw disagreed, saying the RTOs are moving too slowly, and with a flawed planning process that assumes some transmission projects will be ticked off through needed upgrades in their generation interconnection queues.

“You end up with something that generators have to pay for that benefits load. And because it’s so expensive, it doesn’t get built at all. Is that the kind of outcome we want?” Gaw asked.

Market Study Results Soon

OMS Executive Director Marcus Hawkins acknowledged “several” members of the RSC and thanked them for their attendance.

The first round of the groups’ seams studies focuses on rate pancaking and unreserved transmission use charges, the market-to-market process and the RTOs’ lack of joint dispatch in energy markets — all elements that might frustrate market efficiencies between the RTOs.

Both monitors have so far found limited benefits.

Last month, MISO Independent Market Monitor David Patton said he was encountering “a snag” preventing him from securing offer data from SPP in order to complete his side of the analysis. At Thursday’s meeting, Patton said he was still having “data issues.”

Another issue arose when the IMM requested confidential market participant information that, according to the SPP Tariff, can only be shared with permission of affected market participants. Patton since revised the data request to more limited information. SPP said it’s willing to perform an analysis of its own data under the direction of the IMM, if necessary.

SPP Market Monitor Unit Executive Director Keith Collins said he is examining rate pancaking and unreserved transmission use charges essentially functioning as taxes.

OMS MISO SPP seams
MISO IMM David Patton (left) and SPP MMU Executive Director Keith Collins | © RTO Insider

“Are the imposition of costs acting like taxes that are barriers, or are they acting like taxes that provide a societal good?” he said.

But so far, the costs seem too low to bother with.

Collins said MISO and SPP’s rate pancaking issues are moot because both RTOs offer heavily discounted, “near-zero-cost” spot-in transmission service for imports.

“The reality is that most of the rate pancaking has been addressed by market import spot-in service,” Collins said. “Because most non-firm import transactions are already exempt from transmission charges, there is little to no market efficiency to be gained by the further removal of the additional transmission service charges across all import transactions.”

Collins said there have been no unreserved use charges levied against MISO members by SPP in the past two-and-a-half years and only “minimal” charges from MISO to SPP in 2017 and 2018. He also said he’s aware the RTOs’ transmission customers take “cost-avoidance measures” so they aren’t charged for unreserved use.

Patton said a joint dispatch stands to drastically increase power imports from SPP to MISO with only “modest” production cost savings on both sides of the seam.

“These are initial results that are subject to be iterated and improved,” Patton caution. He also noted that the production cost models he uses represent a “highly idealized” version of the RTOs that doesn’t take into account all transmission constraints, “lumpy” outage planning and other operating realities.

Patton also welcomed more ideas on what the monitors should study. “If there are participants or states here that think there are issues that haven’t been looked at, please let us know,” he said.

McIntire said that while there might be few market efficiencies to be gained by their removal, pancaked rates present “a real barrier” to moving low-cost renewable energy across the seams. She also asked that the Monitors not rely solely on a 2018 model to conduct the study but make future assumptions.

PJM MC/MRC Preview: Oct. 31, 2019

Below is a summary of the issues scheduled to be brought to a vote at the PJM Markets and Reliability Committee meeting on Thursday. Each item is listed by agenda number, description and projected time of discussion, followed by a summary of the issue and links to prior coverage in RTO Insider.

RTO Insider will be in Valley Forge, Pa., covering the discussions and votes. See next Tuesday’s newsletter for a full report.

Consent Agenda (9:10-9:15)

PJM will ask for endorsement of:

B. Revisions to Manual 14D: Generator Operational Requirements, including a periodic cover-to-cover review and proposed language changes regarding compliance with FERC Order 841 for energy storage participation.

C. Changes to Manual 36: System Restoration and Manual 40: Training and Certification Requirements regarding Order 841.

D. The 2019 Reserve Requirement Study results, including updated values for the installed reserve margin and forecast pool requirement, which will reset key parameters for the RTO’s upcoming capacity auctions. (See “2019 Installed Reserve Margin Study Results,” PJM PC/TEAC Briefs: Oct. 17, 2019.) If approved, the Members Committee will also be asked to endorse the same day.

1. Load Management Testing Requirements (9:15-9:30)

PJM will seek approval of a modified proposal to update load management testing requirements.

The RTO, which said it wants testing procedures to more closely mimic reality, is proposing a three-step notification system that gives resources first notice two weeks ahead, with additional alerts the day before and the morning before. Resources that fail would be retested within 46 days. There will be one test per year when there is no event, with half of resources tested in winter and the other half in summer.

At last month’s MRC meeting, stakeholders advised the RTO to find a compromise with Enel X, the sponsor of a competing package. (See “Stakeholders Urge Consensus on Load Management Testing Requirements,” PJM MRC/MC Briefs: Sept. 30, 2019.)

Stakeholders expressed concerns about how PJM would fit retests into the same season, as well as the usefulness of a month-ahead notification. Enel X had suggested instead a week-ahead alert to capacity resources. (See PJM Stakeholders Support More Realistic DR Testing.)

The current rules, developed when demand response availability was limited to just six hours a day over the summer, require one test during the summer. They give resources a two-day warning — down to the exact hour — and provides unlimited retesting. Enel X had contended that PJM’s original month-ahead notice provided little useful information to resource owners who operate on a week-ahead timeline. It was also uncertain how PJM would manage retests.

– Christen Smith

AEP Beats Expectations with Strong Q3

AEPAmerican Electric Power’s third-quarter figures beat expectations with earnings of $734 million ($1.49/share), up from $578 million ($1.17/share) over the same period in 2018. Operating income was $722 million ($1.46/share), against Zacks’ consensus estimate of $1.33/share.

The company said the difference between GAAP and operating earnings was driven primarily by the mark-to-market impact of economic hedging activities.

CEO Nick Akins told financial analysts Thursday that the company’s overall load is “making a comeback.” Industrial sales, driven by oil and gas production in Oklahoma, were up 3.4% during the quarter, and the footprint’s GDP grew at a 2.4% rate, ahead of the 2.1% national average, AEP said.

AEP
AEP territory | AEP

“I think you’re seeing some resiliency from an industrial and manufacturing standpoint. You’re starting to see it pick up,” Akins said. “We’ve got the oil and gas activity going gangbusters. … There’s no question people have more money in their pockets and people have more jobs. That’s reflected in what we see.”

The Ohio-based company increased and narrowed its 2019 operating earnings guidance range to $4.14 to $4.24/share, up from $4 to $4.20/share and reaffirmed its long-term growth rate of 5 to 7%. AEP’s share price is up 26.4% since the year began, beating the S&P 500’s 19.9% pace.

Wall Street greeted the news by driving the share price up 75 cents to $95.74 in after-hours trading.

— Tom Kleckner

Clashing Visions of the Grid on Display at OMS Meeting

By Amanda Durish Cook

NEW ORLEANS — MISO executives and some of its state regulators last week provided sharply contrasting visions of the grid’s move away from fossil fuels and toward renewables.

MISO President of Market Development Strategy Richard Doying arrived at the Organization of MISO States’ annual meeting in the Big Easy to discuss the RTO’s 2019 Forward Report, which concluded that market changes are necessary as the RTO footprint experiences demarginalization, decentralization and digitalization. (See New MISO Report Starting Point for Major Grid Change.)

MISO grid OMS
Richard Doying, MISO | © RTO Insider

The RTO had only about 400 MW of wind in 2007, CEO John Bear said. Doying noted it is now nearing 20 GW of wind generation in its mix, which can have zero marginal costs.

“That is the right economic price, but it’s terrible for baseload generation,” Doying said.

MISO’s generation interconnection queue currently contains 59 GW of solar projects and 27 GW of wind projects.

But 15 years ago, coal was king in the footprint, holding more than 75% of the generation mix; now MISO predicts that share will drop to less than 25% by 2030.

But Kentucky Public Service Commissioner Talina Mathews offered a starkly different picture. She said her state, with its continuing flat loads and lack of a renewable portfolio standard, still seems perfectly happy with 94% of its energy needs being supplied by coal and natural gas.

Kentucky doesn’t yet see a need to add renewable generation, Mathews said. For customers that do want renewable energy, she pointed out that western Kentucky, as a MISO member, can access other states’ renewable generation.

“We’re seeing change come more slowly,” she said. And as far as those “green kilowatt-hours? We’re going to sit back and let that come to us.”

MISO grid OMS
Kentucky Public Service Commissioner Talina Mathews | © RTO Insider

“Would some people say my head is in the sand?” she mused. “Maybe.”

But many of Kentucky’s residents simply can’t afford to think about clean energy, Mathews said. To them it doesn’t matter “what color the kilowatt-hours are” as long as they come cheap.

“When your home is a pre-1970s trailer with resistance strip heating, you can’t respond to [energy] market signals,” she said, adding that many in Kentucky’s formerly booming coal country are barely scraping by.

“We have counties that are at 12% [unemployment],” Mathews said. “We have counties that are taking the hit for other people’s energy decisions. And that’s fine. That’s how economies move.”

Minnesota Public Utilities Commissioner Matt Schuerger offered yet another view. He said while renewable adoption was stimulated in the beginning by state renewable targets, they’re no longer a catalyst in 2019.

“We’ve moved beyond that several years ago. In fact, most utilities met these goal several years early,” Schuerger said.

Arkansas Public Service Commission Chairman Ted Thomas argued that energy innovation isn’t a one-step process and markets are best positioned to encourage and accommodate the series of steps — not a federal rule.

“Imagine if we still had the Clean Power Plan. You would have state policy in response to federal mandates clashing with” FERC rules, he said. Storage remains the most potentially disruptive technology that is close to mass deployment, he said. Consumer-oriented demand response is a close second.

Thomas said he agreed with Supreme Court Justice Oliver Wendell Holmes Jr.’s position that laws should be written with the “bad guy” in mind, or the one person that will try to exploit the law for personal gain. He said that advice should be carefully considered when states target certain levels of fuel mix diversity.

“There’s going to be some ‘slick’ that is going to free-ride. That’s human nature,” Thomas said.

He also said the manner in which decentralized generation is adopted remains debatable: “There’s a lot of talk that we’re going to be decentralized, but the question is how — decentralized at scale or decentralized on rooftops?”

Doying took notes during the exchange; MISO plans to release an updated version of its Forward Report in 2020.

Carbon Pricing Vital to NY Goals, Study Author says

By Michael Kuser

TROY, N.Y. — The state must put a price on carbon in its wholesale electricity market if it hopes to meet the aggressive timelines of the decarbonization goals set out in a new law, the co-author of NYISO’s carbon pricing study told stakeholders last week.

“If New York does not do this in the electric-sector engine that the law hopes to rely upon to decarbonize the economy, it’s tying two hands behind the state’s back,” Analysis Group’s Sue Tierney said on Oct. 22 in delivering a summary of the study to NYISO’s Installed Capacity and Market Issues Working Group (ICAP/MIWG). “You will not get the efficiency, or timing, or depth, or pace of change without having this electric system engine on acceleration to get it.”

Delivery of the long-awaited study was delayed a couple months to perform additional analysis on the impacts of the Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act (CLCPA), signed into law in July by Gov. Andrew Cuomo. Among other provisions, the law requires 70% of the state’s electricity to be generated by renewable resources by 2030 and the whole economy to be carbon-neutral by 2040. (See NYISO Study: Carbon Charge to Help NY Climate Goals.)

“It’s going to be really hard to meet the new goals in the CLCPA, even with a carbon price. It’s going to be really hard, so the state should be relying on every tool it can to get the job done,” Tierney said.

NY Carbon Pricing

Implications of the CLCPA for entry of renewables and zero-carbon resources in New York | Analysis Group

NYISO stakeholders took a fine-tooth comb to the final version of the carbon pricing study at the ICAP/MIWG meeting, posing dozens of questions to Tierney.

“Is there a threshold size of the [decarbonization] solution that needs to come from carbon pricing, or is it linear, like you can have as little as 1% of it being accomplished through carbon pricing, or 99%?” asked Aaron Breidenbaugh, representing Consumer Power Advocates.

“I don’t think there’s an engineering or an economic answer to that because we’re going to be surprised, happily surprised, by a market solution,” Tierney said. “Introducing a carbon price will create a dynamic effect, which in turn will produce results later on, and the results will affect things that happen after that.”

Market Efficiencies

The report said the literature on organized wholesale markets indicates carbon pricing will produce a 1 to 3% efficiency improvement in the overall capital and operating costs of the wholesale electric system.

“Applying that range of market efficiency benefits to the above-market cost analysis, we estimate a benefit to New York consumers in the range of $280 [million] to $850 million, net present value, for a baseline scenario running from 2022 to 2036,” Tierney said. The baseline refers to the NYISO Gold Book forecast of baseline demand, she said.

“What is the 1 to 3% supposed to be capturing?” asked Howard Fromer, director of market policy for PSEG Power New York. “In a world that had the social cost of carbon reflected in LMPs, one would expect LMPs to trend higher to capture that cost in a marginal unit, to the extent that fossil is that marginal unit. I would expect that as that percolated through the electric system … you would see people doing things differently, being more active in efficiency opportunities as prices were higher. I assume some elasticities. … Is this 1 to 3% capturing that kind of benefit?”

Tierney provided an example: “If one did a long-term renewable energy credit procurement as the only approach to meeting the requirements of the CLCPA, then an owner of a fossil unit … might decide that the next dollars it might consider spending on operations and maintenance to keep that plant the most efficient one are not worth spending. The market would be telling that owner that it would be stupid to invest in such efficiency. This [1 to 3%] is meant to capture the other things going on.”

Mark Reeder, representing the Alliance for Clean Energy New York, said he assumed that carbon pricing would have negligible effects on energy efficiency, as residential retail prices would go down.

“There is no increase in energy conservation in homes from a program that results show the prices are in fact going down,” Reeder said. “Maybe you could have done an offset to your $280 million and go down another 15 [million dollars] and say it’s $265 million, but we keep forgetting the result … is customer prices go down. The customer impacts are quite near zero, but on net, the prices go down.”

Reeder questioned the premise of getting the 1 to 3% coming from the dispatch: “Most of the literature about going to deregulation was that it would increase efficiencies in terms of people’s investment decisions, in terms of their maintenance decisions. I would think the bulk of the 1 to 3% is in the investment decision to extend the life of your plant, to make your gas plant more efficient. None of those are dispatch efficiencies.”

Tierney disagreed. “There will be also dispatch efficiencies, along with the other types of efficiencies,” such as investments to make individual plants more efficient and others that reflect a shift of risk from consumers to owners of generation and transmission, she said. “So the dispatch efficiencies will be reflected in the new portfolio of resources [that] results from the new investment signals, including locationally in New York. Our 1 to 3% is meant to cover all of those types of things.”

Transmission Differentials

“We include in the value proposition that the carbon price would send signals for transmission as a result of a differential in LMPs, upstate and downstate,” Tierney said. “We also said that part of the value proposition here would be more direct signaling about the value of adding demand and supply resources in downstate New York, where most of the load occurs and where the prices would be higher.”

One of the benefits listed in the report has to do with transmission buildout, which NYISO has already documented as essential to New York meeting its aggressive goals, Fromer said.

“There is simply no way we’re going to make a dramatic dent in carbon reduction unless more transmission is built in the state,” Fromer said. “To what extent does the 1 to 3% benefit capture the difference of a likelihood of transmission buildout in a world where you’re moving $30 power to a $35 market, versus $30 power to a $55 market? How do you get the public to accept spending a billion dollars for a line that’s saving hardly any money?

“What is the logic that you get more transmission built from upstate to downstate unless you’re reflecting the carbon benefit of that transmission in the price — and is any of that in the 1 to 3%?”

Tierney said she didn’t think so. “Based on the literature review, that has not been called out as a specific issue. I think that is a powerful advantage of the NYISO’s carbon-pricing proposal, putting a price signal on transmission.”

Fromer said that raised the issue of whether the state would get more carbon reductions by just relying on REC contracts.

“One of the concerns with the [CLCPA] is … you might not get carbon reduction from some of the renewable additions upstate because the load being reduced would have been using renewables anyway, and you don’t have the lines to move the surplus power downstate,” Fromer said. “Even though you’re spending a lot of money, you’re displacing other pre-existing carbon-free energy.”

“I agree. … When we did our buildout scenarios and estimated the above-market costs that one might expect as a result of the CLCPA, which was the lump of money from which we said that you could expect to get 1 to 3% in efficiency savings, we included no transmission investment in that,” Tierney said. “We did include one scenario [that] assumed that all of the offshore wind dumped into New York City, so that higher cost is reflected in part in there.

“In order to actually get the carbon reductions, there has to be a demand forecast that reflects electrification of buildings and vehicles, including in downstate New York, where most of the state’s demand is located, and that has to include getting the power to where people live,” she said.

ISO-NE Planning Advisory Committee Briefs: Oct. 24, 2019

ISO-NE will add five buses to the bulk power system list and remove seven others for various reasons, the Planning Advisory Committee learned on Thursday.

Dan Schwarting, lead engineer for transmission planning, presented the BPS list updates to the PAC and said reasons for the additions include planned transmission upgrades, changes to protection schemes, and a reduction in inertia in Nova Scotia and New Brunswick.

Two of the additional buses were previously identified as BPS in the proposed plan application (PPA) for the Southeast Massachusetts/Rhode Island (SEMA/RI) transmission upgrades, and all five were identified in the 2019 BPS assessment report.

Reasons for the seven bus removals include generation retirements, dynamic model changes and other system changes since 2016, Schwarting said.

Four buses were previously identified as new BPS in the PPA study but will not be added to the BPS list. All seven buses were identified in the 2019 BPS assessment report.

The Northeast Power Coordinating Council requires the identification of buses that are part of the BPS, with some NPCC criteria applying only to BPS buses or BPS elements, including Directory 1: Design and Operation of the BPS and Directory 4: System Protection Criteria.

BPS classifications are determined through a performance-based test, as described in NPCC Document A-10.

RSP Transmission Projects and Asset Conditions

New England saw cost increases of nearly $200 million on 11 transmission projects between June and October 2019, according to Brent Oberlin, the RTO’s director of transmission planning, who presented on Regional System Plan transmission projects and asset conditions.

Eight of the projects were in the Greater Boston area and had a combined cost increase of $157 million, which Eversource Energy attributed to “actual construction bids coming in higher than estimated costs, lengthy and extensive permitting, and restrictive permitting conditions,” Oberlin said.

ISO-NE
Investment of New England transmission reliability projects by status through 2023 | ISO-NE

The other three projects all were in the Seacoast New Hampshire Solution, in the Madbury-Portsmouth area, and experienced a combined cost increase of $40 million, which Eversource also attributed to actual construction bids coming in higher than estimated costs, lengthy and extensive permitting, and restrictive permitting conditions.

“This can’t keep happening; the estimates have to get more accurate,” said Dorothy Capra, director of regulatory services at the New England States Committee on Electricity. “You don’t want to keep upsetting state regulators.”

Eversource representatives at the meeting said they would be prepared to answer questions on the cost overruns in more detail at the PAC meeting in November.

There were no new projects since the June 2019 update, but three upgrades on the project list have been placed in-service, including two in Greater Boston and one in Greater Hartford and Central Connecticut, Oberlin said.

ISO-NE
Cumulative investment of New England transmission reliability projects and asset condition through 2027 | ISO-NE

Eversource 1355 115-kV Line Rebuild

Eversource’s John Case presented the utility’s plans for an estimated $7.45 million line rebuild in Connecticut (+50% to -25%), with an estimated in-service date of May 2020.

Eversource proposes to rebuild the 115-kV 1355 transmission line from the Colony substation to Schwab Junction in Wallingford, Conn., replacing 14 aged and degraded structures with new steel structures.

ISO-NE
A conductor dating back to 1927 | Eversource Energy

The original 1927 steel lattice towers on the line have bent members, corrosion and tower legs located in standing water. The conductor and shield wire in this section are original to the line, thus 92 years old, and no longer standard Eversource transmission conductors, Case said.

The utility will reconfigure the circuit arrangement and right of way to reduce the structures and conductors required, eliminating seven structures and approximately three-quarters circuit-miles of conductor. The aged and degraded copperweld conductor and shield wires will be replaced with new standard conductors and optical ground wire.

Wood structures in this section date from 1966 and suffer from various degrees of woodpecker damage, rot, cracks and deteriorated steel mechanical connections.

Tx Owner Local System Plans

The PAC meeting was followed by a meeting of the Transmission Owner Planning Advisory Committee, a transmission owner-led forum. The TOs each provided brief introductions of their local system plans or those of their subsidiaries, including upcoming transmission projects within their areas.

Presenting plans were Avangrid, Emera Maine, Eversource, National Grid, New Hampshire Transmission and Vermont Electric Power Co.

– Michael Kuser