MISO’s Board of Directors last week approved the 2015 Transmission Expansion Plan, which calls for $2.75 billion in spending on 345 projects through 2024.
Board member Michael Evans said MTEP15 was shaped by more than 40 pages of stakeholder comments. “I think it got a thorough vetting and we’re happy to see the level of interest from stakeholders,” he said.
MTEP15 includes MISO’s first competitively bid project, the Duff-Coleman 345-kV line in Southern Indiana. MISO will fund the $67.4 million cost of the Duff-Coleman portion while PJM be responsible for the $85.3 million needed for the double circuit 345-kV tie-in to Rockport.
Evans said MISO’s competitive bidding is “an impressive process, but it’s also a new process so I expect we’ll encounter some bumps along the way.” He assured the room that the bidding, which begins next month, will comply with FERC Order 1000.
Evans added the projects that “slipped” and didn’t make the final plan were typical of the process and won’t affect reliability.
“Lest we forget, the volume of work that goes into this is huge. Some 60 meetings were held over the last 18 months to get this thing done,” Evans said.
MISO South’s share of approved projects represents $1.4 billion, more than half of the total portfolio.
MISO Board Approving MTEP15
It includes the $122.5 million East Texas economic project, a 230-kV transmission line from Lewis Creek to a new 345/230-kV substation and the rebuild of the Newton Bulk-Leach 115-kV line.
Also of note in the plan are Louisiana’s $122 million Schriever to Bayou Vista 230-kV line, the $114 million New Plains-National 138-kV line in Upper Michigan and the $97.8 million construction of two 120/41.6-kV substations to serve load in Ann Arbor, home of the University of Michigan.
“There’s an awful lot of good stuff in there. When your Christmas gifts are wrapped, you might want to read it,” board member Judy Walsh said of the 429-page document.
“These investments in the region will continue to position MISO for future challenges and changes in the industry,” said CEO John R. Bear. “As our region grapples with the Clean Power Plan and a shifting generation portfolio, MISO’s transmission planning efforts are even more important. Ensuring a robust transmission system will allow us to meet these challenges in a way that protects reliability.”
With the addition of MTEP15, transmission investment in the footprint will increase to 863 projects totaling about $12.9 billion since 2003.
Board OKs 2016 Budget; MISO Overspends by a Slight Margin in 2015
MISO will exceed its 2015 budget by as much as 1.3%, the Board of Directors was told last Thursday.
As of October, MISO had operating expenses of $185.2 million, an overrun of $2.4 million, reported Tonya Brown, executive director of finance and corporate services. The RTO is projected to spend an extra $1.8 million to $2.8 million by year-end.
During the first 10 months of 2015, spending on capital expenses came in under budget by $1.6 million or 7.8%; MISO spent $19.1 million instead of the allotted $20.7 million. However, the grid operator is forecasted to spend $24 million to $24.2 million instead of the budgeted $23.5 million by the end of the year.
The board unanimously approved the 2016 spending plan, a $225 million operating budget and a $31 million capital budget.
Cash reserves are predicted to drop over the next five years, reducing the expected $79 million MISO will have at the end of this year to $13.5 million in 2019 before rebounding to $46 million in 2020. Factors contributing to the reduction are the conclusion of recovery of depreciation on ancillary markets and the 2016 start of principal payments on debt.
Board member Thomas Rainwater reported that MISO’s costs have grown at a compound average rate of 3% while load has increased 30% over the past decade.
New Board Members Elected
MISO’s board agreed to add two new members to its Board of Directors: former general manager of Pasadena Water and Power Phyllis Currie and former vice president of transmission operations for Pacific Gas and Electric Mark Johnson. Additionally, board member and former chairman and CEO of the Boston Stock Exchange Michael Curran was re-elected to another three-year term, and board member Eugene Zeltmann, whose term expired, announced he would not seek another term. With the new appointments, MISO’s board expands from seven to nine seats.
Tx Developers Urge ‘Proactive’ Role; OMS: Respect State Jurisdiction
By Amanda Durish Cook
CARMEL, Ind. — MISO stakeholders are deeply split over how proactive the RTO should be in helping its 15-state region comply with the Clean Power Plan.
At an Advisory Committee “hot topic” discussion last week, some stakeholders cautioned MISO against taking policy positions, while others said the RTO should help guide the states to the most economical compliance options.
“MISO is going to have to live with what the states decide,” said Texas Public Utility Commissioner Kenneth Anderson, whose state is among 11 in MISO whose officials have joined in legal challenges to the EPA rule. “Until real decisions are made, you run the risk of running into political minefields. Whether we do rate-based or mass-based [compliance], there are going to be very different consequences.”
No Advocacy Role
The Organization of MISO States also urged MISO to follow rather than attempt to lead the states. “Ultimately, MISO will be charged with incorporating the states’ decisions on CPP compliance into its markets, planning and operations. If those decisions result in some states choosing to ‘go it alone,’ some choosing to be trading-ready, some choosing rate-based or mass-based compliance, or taking legal action against the EPA, such decisions are the states’,” OMS said in its written comments. “MISO should focus on how to best operate a reliable system in these conditions.”
The End-Use Customer sector agreed that MISO’s role should “be limited to providing information and analysis on the cost and reliability impacts” of compliance options “rather than taking on an advocacy role.”
But others urged MISO to help steer the states, with the Environmental sector saying the RTO should “encourage states to adopt consistent, complementary plans that include coverage of new sources and facilitate broad trading opportunities.”
The Public Consumer sector said MISO should provide each state a comparison of rate-based and mass-based compliance “so the lowest-cost and lowest-risk compliance options are clearly identified.”
The Competitive Transmission Developers sector also pushed for a proactive role, saying “it is time for MISO’s role to shift from information dissemination to collaboration and active planning to facilitate state compliance efforts.”
Kari Bennett, MISO
“Without a proactive and accelerated RTO planning effort to ensure necessary transmission infrastructure can be put in place across the region, the ability of each member state to meet compliance requirements could be heavily restricted (if not jeopardized) due to reliability concerns, in addition to the potential loss of efficiencies currently provided by the MISO market,” it said.
Stakeholders also were divided on whether MISO should file comments with FERC on EPA’s proposed federal implementation plan. “MISO has not made any decisions on if we will comment,” said Kari Bennett, MISO’s senior corporate counsel.
Bennett said MISO will not seek to advocate or condemn any state compliance plans and that modeling would be based on “dispassionate calculations.”
But MISO Director Eugene Zeltmann said it might be difficult to entirely wipe out any public policy in CPP modeling. “There’s going to be some very sterile modeling going on,” he said.
MISO Role in Trading
Although there is wide agreement that compliance will be least costly if it includes a broad regional emissions trading program, MISO’s role in trading is uncertain.
The Transmission Owners sector said MISO should look to existing programs such as the Midwest Renewable Energy Tracking System, rather than developing its own trading platform. “There are existing markets … for trading allowances and credits,” the TOs said. “These markets will perform very well.”
The Independent Power Producers sector said MISO “should not have a role in implementing any multi-state implementation plans,” saying both the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative and California’s cap-and-trade program “require no interface with the RTO/ISOs beyond allowing suppliers to price the cost of emissions compliance into their offers.”
Many Unknowns
Next month, MISO expects to release its near-term analysis, which will evaluate the implications of various compliance paths based on models used in prior analyses of the draft CPP, with updates reflecting the final rule.
The mid-term analysis, expected to run through June, will use new models based on the most relevant compliance paths from the near-term study to determine likely resource buildouts and their locations under three separate futures. It will be the foundation for transmission development under the 2017 MISO Transmission Expansion Plan.
With state compliance plans unknown, there are limits to what MISO can model, said Clair Moeller, MISO executive vice president of transmission and technology.
Most states are expected to seek a one-year delay from EPA, meaning their compliance plans won’t be filed until November 2017, when MISO will be in the middle of its long-term analysis. EPA will impose a federal plan on states that fail to present an acceptable plan of their own.
Detailed modeling would have to wait “until the states start to tip their hand one way or the other,” Moeller said. “We’re going to run out of time like we always do. There’s going to be a panic in 2017, but we’re going to do all we can.”
Challenges will arise to fit state plans into regional markets, stakeholders said. Several AC members pointed out that Wisconsin is the only state within MISO whose borders are completely within the RTO’s footprint.
“I don’t think we’re going to model our way into quantitative comfort,” Director Michael Curran said. “We may model ourselves to a level of frustration with each other.”
More transmission will likely be needed under any compliance scenario, several stakeholders said.
“MISO should not wait for all state plans to be filed before beginning work on the transmission studies, including overlay studies,” the TOs said, urging MISO to quickly identify “no regrets” transmission projects likely to be needed under a variety of scenarios.
MISO’s Environmental sector pointed out that the Midwest is home to the nation’s best onshore wind resources. “Planning to quickly, affordably and reliably tap into these wind resources and deliver them to market can be done more effectively if interregional planning processes are improved,” it said. “More action is necessary to identify the transmission necessary to access and transport the energy to MISO and other regions.”
Modeling Priorities
Some stakeholders expressed dissatisfaction with MISO’s modeling priorities.
The TOs said MISO should focus on “providing an impartial comparison of the different means and approaches to full compliance and its impacts on reliability and efficiency of the grid.” They said that scenarios for partial and accelerated compliance would provide only “marginal” benefits.
“The accelerated compliance scenario, while still possible, is highly unlikely, even with technology breakthroughs, given the short timeline,” it said. “Even if, ultimately, more aggressive long-term goals for greenhouse gas abatement were to be adopted, they would likely be sought through steeper reductions in the outer years. Second, a partial compliance scenario may have some value, particularly if scoped as a delayed implementation scenario to account for legal challenges, but MISO should avoid spending too many resources and/or time on this.”
The End-Use sector said MISO should increase its coordination with neighboring SPP and PJM and “benchmark” the results of its analyses against those of the other regions. The sector said MISO should expand its modeling to include not only cost estimates for generation and transmission that may be needed, but also an evaluation of whether the region has sufficient natural gas infrastructure to accommodate the anticipated increase in gas-fired generation.
The Environmental sector said MISO should “more comprehensively model compliance strategies that rely on increasing energy efficiency (EE).”
“Without modeling high EE scenarios, states will not be able to understand the cost and emissions implications of expanding their EE programs as a strategy to comply with the CPP,” it said. “For example, in rate‐based compliance approaches, excluding EE from the supply will artificially constrain the supply of emissions reduction credits (ERCs) and increase ERC prices. Modeling EE simply as lower demand growth would not allow for its incorporation into a rate‐based plan in this manner, and thus would skew model results.”
Changes Coming
The Transmission-Dependent Utilities sector said MISO may need to change some market rules. It said a seasonal capacity construct, now under discussion, could aid compliance. (See MISO Proposes Two-Season Capacity Market, Appoints Team to Address Ill. Zone.) “Entities may choose to only run their coal-fired units during peak demand periods in the summer, and use natural gas as much as possible in shoulder periods,” it said.
It also said MISO should be prepared to replace spinning reserves, black start services and reactive power services provided by baseload units that may retire or limit operations.
The shift from coal- to gas-fired generation argues for a move to a multi-day resource commitment, it said.
“The current next-day economic commitment process can lead to higher costs by not committing long-lead time resources, which are economical over longer periods. A longer commitment process will help to address this issue and improve the economic operation of gas-fueled generation by providing a longer lead time to procure fuel.”
The competitive transmission developers said MISO should “conduct accelerated discussions” with stakeholders on how the RTO will allocate costs of transmission improvements needed for compliance. “Currently, there is too little flexibility in the MISO Tariff to allow for sub-regional or state-based cost allocation for public policy projects, which could impede necessary development if left unaddressed,” they said.
The landmark climate deal reached in Paris on Saturday will have wide-ranging impacts on utilities and other industries, analysts say. More than 190 countries pledged to reduce their emissions of carbon and other heat-trapping gases following two weeks of negotiations.
Investment funds will move their portfolios from coal and oil to renewables — reflecting utilities’ shifting generation mix — while inventors will seek breakthroughs in energy storage and carbon capture technologies, and automakers will have to expand production of electric cars.
Business leaders have long complained that the lack of a clear political message on global warming was hamstringing their investment decisions.
“We have an opportunity to build a new economy, and business is poised to help make it happen,” said Richard Branson, CEO of the Virgin Group. “The ‘Paris effect’ will ensure the economy of the future is driven by clean energy.”
“It’s very hard to go backward from something like this,” agreed Nancy Pfund, managing partner of DBL Partners, a venture capital firm. “People are boarding this train, and it’s time to hop on if you want to have a thriving, 21st-century economy.”
The success of the Paris meeting was in stark contrast to the failure of the 2009 talks in Copenhagen. But the commitments made last week won’t be enough to meet the agreement’s goal of keeping global warming “well below” 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit).
NRC Grants 20-Year Extension to FirstEnergy’s Davis-Besse
Despite its own characterization of the plant’s history as troubled, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission issued a 20-year license extension to FirstEnergy’s Davis-Besse nuclear plant in Ohio. NRC reviewed the plant’s operational record for five years, substantially longer than most license-extension reviews.
“We had a couple of issues that took a little longer to understand the full ramifications,” said Sam Belcher, FirstEnergy’s chief nuclear officer.
Davis-Besse experienced a partial loss of coolant in 1985, cracks in its containment building and serious corrosion of the plant’s reactor head in 2002, contributing to its becoming a target of anti-nuclear activists such as Terry Lodge, who called Davis-Besse “a contrivance of regulatory neglect and corporate welfare.”
The Nuclear Regulatory Commission has told Entergy it can continue to operate the Indian Point nuclear power plant’s Unit 3 under its existing license while its license renewal review continues.
Unit 3’s 40-year license would have expired at midnight on Saturday had Entergy not applied for a license renewal eight years ago, the company said. Entergy can continue to operate the plant in Buchanan, N.Y., under the federal government’s “timely renewal” provision and until NRC makes a final determination on the company’s license renewal request.
The other operating plant at Indian Point, Unit 2, received a similar approval from NRC in September 2013 prior to it entering the period beyond its initial 40-year license.
A faulty electrical breaker controlling a roof fan caused last week’s trip at Indian Point Unit 2, according to the Nuclear Regulatory Commission.
The commission said operators at the New York plant manually shut down the reactor Dec. 5 when the faulty breaker caused a drop in voltage to the mechanisms controlling about 10 of the reactor’s control rods. That caused those rods to drop into the reactor, slowing the reaction and trigging a shutdown.
FERC Tells Atlantic Coast Pipeline to Find Alternate Routes
FERC has told the developers of the $5.1 billion Atlantic Coast Pipeline project that they should look for alternative routes through the Monongahela and George Washington national forests on the West Virginia-Virginia border.
“To ensure that a complete and thorough evaluation of the ACP is presented in the draft environmental impact statement, we request that Atlantic identify and assess an alternative pipeline route across the national forests,” FERC said in a letter to Dominion Resources, the pipeline’s developer. FERC issued the directive after consulting with the U.S. Forest Service.
Dominion said it was not surprised by the FERC notice. “Our goal from the beginning has been to develop a route that meets the critical energy needs of our public utility customers with the least impact on people, the environment and historical and cultural resources — including locations where it crosses the working forests,” a Dominion spokesperson said. The 542-mile pipeline would deliver natural gas from Appalachian shale formations to North Carolina.
FERC Turns Down Request for Further Pipeline Study
FERC has turned down a request by landowners, local governments and environmental groups in Virginia and West Virginia to conduct a cumulative impact study of several proposed pipeline projects that would cross the region.
FERC said there was no precedent for such a study, which had been requested by the Blue Ridge Land Conservancy and other groups. Advocates say such a study could establish standards for multiple projects being cut through wilderness and farmlands.
“With the recent exponential increase in applications to FERC for new interstate pipelines to transport Marcellus Shale natural gas, FERC’s traditional project-by-project [National Environmental Policy Act] review has proven increasingly ineffective,” said the Water and Power Law Group.
FERC is being asked to issue a certificate of convenience to a proposed natural gas pipeline that would deliver shale gas from Ohio to customers in Michigan and Canada.
The NEXUS Gas Transmission project would run 255 miles through Ohio and terminate at the Dawn Hub in Ontario. Spectra Energy is working with other pipeline, gas storage and utility companies to develop the project.
“The NEXUS project will play a key role in helping the U.S. transition to cleaner sources for generating electricity — including new power plants fueled by natural gas — as coal plants are retired due to their age and environmental regulations,” said David Slater, DTE Energy’s president of gas storage and pipelines.
NRC Allows Entergy to Shrink Vermont Yankee Emergency Zone
The Nuclear Regulatory Commission has agreed to allow Entergy to cease to maintain the 10-mile radius emergency planning zone around its retired Vermont Yankee nuclear generating station. Entergy applied for permission to shrink the emergency zone to just the plant and its perimeter.
NRC spokesman Neil Sheehan said the company had proved it was able to contain any radiological release from the on-site spent fuel storage at the plant, which shut down at the end of 2014.
“Once the reactor is shut down, you no longer have to worry about the sudden kind of event where there’s a rupture of a steam line and there has to be immediate actions taken to protect the public,” Sheehan said. “They had to be able to demonstrate to us that they would be able to do whatever is necessary to make sure that that pool maintains its integrity so that that pool is protected.”
New York electricity customers would pay about $1.7 billion more annually over the next decade if the nuclear fleet operating on Lake Ontario shuts down, according to a new study by The Brattle Group.
The report, released Dec. 7, was prepared for three unions representing utility workers and building tradesmen in western New York.
The backdrop is the proposed shutdown of Entergy’s James A. FitzPatrick plant and the eventual closing of the R.E. Ginna plant, owned by Exelon, when a contract providing ratepayer subsidies runs out in 2017. (See Ginna Lifeline to End in 2017; Profits After ‘Unlikely’.)
Also included in the study is Exelon’s two-unit Nine Mile Point. The company has not indicated that the plant is in danger of closing but said its environmental attributes need to be recognized in the design of the wholesale market.
Nuclear supporters are trying to keep the plants running. Gov. Andrew Cuomo also has some ideas on how to keep the plants operating for the next 15 years for their air emissions benefits while New York transitions to more renewable and distributed energy in its power system. Details could be released at Cuomo’s State of the State address in January.
The three plants, with four reactors, have a combined generating capacity of 3,345 MW. They represent 7% of NYISO’s capacity but 15% of its electricity production.
The study said the plants lower wholesale electricity prices and mitigate the state’s ever-increasing reliance on natural gas for power generation. Without upstate nuclear, natural gas’ share of generation would rise from the current 40% to 54%, it said.
“This alternative generation mix would mean higher average electricity prices in New York, driven in part by energy market effects, but perhaps more importantly by the effect on NYISO capacity markets,” the study said. The power plants contribute approximately $3.16 billion to the state’s gross domestic product, account for nearly 25,000 full-time jobs (direct and indirect) and provide other benefits, such as avoiding 16 million tons of carbon dioxide emissions annually, according the report.
The plants also contribute $144 million in net state tax revenue annually, including more than $60 million in state and local property taxes.
The report was prepared for the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers’ Utility Labor Council of New York, the Rochester Building & Construction Trades Council and the Central-Northern New York Building & Construction Trades Council.
AEP Ohio has reached a settlement with Public Utilities Commission of Ohio staff and others on an eight-year power purchase agreement, winning the support of the Sierra Club with a promise to double the state’s wind generation and nearly quintuple its solar capacity.
The settlement provides guaranteed income for the output of American Electric Power’s 2,671-MW ownership share of nine plants, as well as the company’s 423-MW contractual share of Ohio Valley Electric Corp.’s generating fleet, until May 2024, the company announced Monday.
AEP said the agreement, which still needs to be approved by PUCO, would raise a typical residential customer’s bill by 62 cents/month. But when coupled with its recently approved Electric Security Plan, rates will be $9/month less than rates a year ago, the company said.
AEP also predicted that the settlement agreement would result in savings to consumers of $721 million over its eight-year life.
Opponents say AEP’s projections assume an unlikely increase in natural gas costs in the later years. The Ohio Consumers’ Counsel (OCC) has predicted that the deal would cost consumers an extra $2 billion.
Minutes after AEP announced the settlement agreement, the OCC issued a release criticizing it.
“It’s a sad day for AEP’s consumers when, 16 years after the 1999 deregulation law, the government is being asked to impose charges on consumers for a bailout of deregulated power plants,” said Consumers’ Counsel Bruce Weston, who also opposed the FirstEnergy agreement. “Consumers should not be charged a penny more than the cost of power in the market.”
Many of the same companies and associations who are denouncing the settlement also criticized a similar agreement with FirstEnergy. Dynegy and Talen Energy have threatened to sue over the FirstEnergy deal, a warning repeated by Dynegy CEO Robert Flexon on Monday. “Dynegy will continue to fight for market-based policies that treat all forms of power generation equally through advocacy and litigation, if necessary, to prohibit these power purchase agreements from being enacted,” Flexon said. (See Merchant Generators Lead Opposition to FirstEnergy-Ohio Settlement.)The PJM Power Providers Group (P3) and the Electric Power Supply Association also blasted the agreement.
“It just doesn’t make sense that in the face of overwhelming testimony that competitive markets are working to push electricity rates to historically low levels in Ohio that the PUCO staff would yet again agree to a misguided proposal that will not improve reliability, will not reduce volatility, will force consumer to pay more for power and will drive innovation out of the state,” P3 President Glen Thomas said.
Environmental Support
Part of the AEP agreement is a commitment to retire or convert some of its coal-fired generators to natural gas. It also includes commitments to develop 900 MW of wind and solar projects, continued support for energy efficiency programs and up to $100 million in customer credits.
It was this combination of sweeteners that brought the Sierra Club into the fold. While the group was harsh in its criticism of the FirstEnergy deal — saying “PUCO’s staff decision to move forward with a backroom deal to bailout FirstEnergy’s aging power plants is insulting to Ohio utility customers” — it came out in support of the AEP plan.
“The proposed stipulation reflects a very difficult yet pragmatic discussion between AEP and Sierra Club,” senior campaign representative Daniel Sawmiller told The Columbus Dispatch. “While nobody will call this deal perfect, we’re proud of what it accomplishes toward reinvigorating Ohio’s clean energy economy and moving beyond coal.”
The group was swayed by AEP’s commitment to develop 500 MW of wind generation and 400 MW of solar within five years.
Ohio’s current installed wind capacity of 435 MW ranks 26th in the nation and contributes less than 1% of its in-state generation, according to the American Wind Energy Association. Another 259 MW is under construction.
The state has 106 MW of solar, ranking it 20th in the country, according to the Solar Energy Industries Association.
The nine AEP generating stations covered by the agreement are: Cardinal Unit 1 in Brilliant; Conesville Units 4-6 in Conesville; Stuart Units 1-4 in Aberdeen; and Zimmer Unit 1 in Moscow.
The environmental commitments to its plants cover converting Conesville Units 5 and 6 to co-fire natural gas by Dec. 31, 2017, and retiring, refueling or repowering Conesville Units 5 and 6 and Cardinal Unit 1 to only use natural gas by the end of 2029 and 2030.
In addition to PUCO staff and the Sierra Club, AEP said Ohio Partners for Affordable Energy, Ohio Energy Group, Ohio Hospital Association, Mid-Atlantic Renewable Energy Coalition and three competitive retail energy suppliers had agreed to sign or not oppose the settlement.
“This agreement addresses many of the concerns raised by a diverse group of parties including advocates for low-income customers, environmental organizations, industrial and commercial customers and competitive energy suppliers,” said Pablo Vegas, CEO of AEP Ohio.
The Ohio Environmental Council was among those not swayed. “We’re still very much opposed to this idea that consumers are being forced to pay for dirty energy,” Trish Demeter, the council’s managing director of energy and clean air programs, told The Columbus Dispatch.
In a dissenting opinion, authority member Michael Caron said the deal presents “too many unknowns” for regulators and the state’s ratepayers.
“Iberdrola is a multi-national conglomerate that is currently engaged in regulated and unregulated activities,” he wrote. “Consequently, parts of Iberdrola’s business may be more inherently risky than its regulated utilities. These risks outweigh the minimal public benefits provided in the settlement agreement.”
Iberdrola agreed to regulators’ demand for “ring fencing” of the company’s state operations from its other domestic and international holdings. But Caron said that the company’s responsibilities to its shareholders overall would undermine those protections for Connecticut ratepayers.
Caron also said Iberdrola’s previous ownership and sale of two Connecticut natural gas distribution companies showed a lack of commitment to the state.
In a statement, PURA Chairman Arthur H. House said the deal was in the public interest and overcame objections that officials had to the first proposal last summer.
“While their first proposal had many positive aspects, Iberdrola and UIL took to heart the message we sent in our preliminary ruling, measurably improving both the public benefit content of their proposal, and also making specific, measurable commitments that ensure the flow of benefits to utility ratepayers,” he wrote.
PURA Vice Chairman John Betkoski joined House in approving the acquisition.
The deal had won the endorsement of the state’s Consumer Counsel in September.
The deal must still be approved by UIL shareholders and Massachusetts regulators, who have jurisdiction over UIL’s natural gas distributor Berkshire Gas. The companies have asked that state’s Department of Public Utilities to rule by Dec. 18.
ERCOT will add about 9,300 MW of additional capacity by 2019, relieving concerns that the grid’s reserve margins would drop as load continued to grow, according to a new analysis.
The updated 10-year Capacity, Demand and Reserves (CDR) report released last week shows a continuing rise in planning reserve margins — topping 20% in the “next several years.” The Texas grid operator’s reserve margin has stood at 13.75% since December 2010.
The latest CDR shows about 6,250 MW of planned resources have become eligible to be included since the May 2015 report (a net of 3,660 MW after discounting wind nameplate additions). Planning reserve margins increased for all years except 2016.
Gas turbines and wind and solar farms account for much of the expected new capacity. ERCOT said solar capacity should increase from its current 193 MW of installed capacity to 1,789 MW by 2017. Nameplate wind capacity is expected to grow 45% to more than 4,200 MW over the same period, while natural gas capacity is projected to grow 1% to more than 51,000 MW.
ERCOT’s director of system planning, Warren Lasher, said the new generation was responding to the state’s continued growth. “We continue to see the demand for electricity here increase as more people and businesses move into Texas,” he said during a Dec. 1 conference call.
“The generation mix is also growing and changing,” Lasher said. He said some of the capacity growth could be offset by fossil unit retirements as “changing environmental rules begin to take effect.”
ERCOT forecasts a peak of more than 70,500 MW next summer, growing to almost 78,000 MW by summer 2025.
Two years ago, ERCOT was predicting a 20% decrease in its reserve margin. The grid operator had come perilously close to rolling blackouts during a blistering summer of 2011 and plant construction was practically nil.
Recent summer temperatures have not reached predictions and new capacity has come online since then, but ERCOT also revised its planning standards last year. Staff has incorporated growth trends in customer accounts, or premises, to better project regional demand growth.
“We have been able to provide a more accurate look at future demand and energy use,” said Calvin Opheim, ERCOT’s manager of load forecasting and analysis. “I’ve been very happy with how our new forecasting model has performed.”
The latest CDR forecasts peak loads averaging more than 500 MW higher through 2021 than the forecast used for the May CDR. ERCOT said the report is based on average weather over the past 13 years and includes additional electricity demand from a liquefied natural gas facility near Houston, which is scheduled to be fully operational by summer 2019.
The CDR’s data on generation comes from information provided by resource owners.
The report counts as capacity 4,700 MW of coal generation ERCOT expects to retire as a result of EPA’s Clean Power Plan and Regional Haze Program. The draft Regional Haze rule would require scrubber upgrades or retrofits at 12 coal-fired units by 2020. A final rule is expected in several months. The next CDR update is scheduled for release in May 2016.
ERCOT Sets Another New Wind Peak
ERCOT set a new record for wind generation Nov. 25 with 12,971 MW. That accounted for nearly 37% of the grid’s load at the time (9:10 p.m.).
Entergy said last week it is sticking to its plan to close the FitzPatrick nuclear generating station, despite a rescue attempt by New York officials and an offer by Exelon to provide it fuel at cost.
FitzPatrick nuclear plant (Source: Entergy)
Entergy announced last month that competition from low-cost natural gas generation will force it to retire the 838-MW plant in late 2016 or early 2017, when the plant would otherwise be shutting temporarily for refueling. (See Entergy Closing FitzPatrick Nuclear Plant in New York.)
Then came news that New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo wants the Public Service Commission to mandate that 50% of the state’s electricity come from renewable sources by 2030. Cuomo also called for incentives to keep the state’s nuclear plants operating until then. (See Cuomo: 50% Renewables by 2030, Keep Nukes Going.)
At the urging of Cuomo administration officials, Exelon agreed to acquire enough fuel for FitzPatrick and to give Entergy until next June to decide whether to use it based on the clean energy mandate. The PSC said that the proposed “fuel bridge” would allow Entergy to delay its decision without purchasing the $50 million worth of fuel now.
The offers weren’t enough to change Entergy’s mind.
“We have explored every legitimate commercial arrangement that might have changed the decision regarding Fitzpatrick’s retirement,” Entergy spokeswoman Tammy Holden told The Post-Standard. “There is no viable alternative left to consider. The plant will retire at the end of 2016 or early 2017, as we previously announced and have formally advised” the Nuclear Regulatory Commission.
VALLEY FORGE, Pa. — PJM is drafting manual changes to document the parameter adjustment process under Capacity Performance rules.
The process allows a generation operator to request an adjustment if it believes its resource’s physical constraints will prevent it from meeting the parameters assigned by PJM.
Related revisions to Manual 11: Energy and Ancillary Services Market Operations will be presented for endorsement by the Markets and Reliability Committee this month.
At last week’s Operating Committee meeting, the RTO gave a presentation comparing the unit-specific parameter adjustment process with parameter limited schedule (PLS) exceptions.
Unit-specific adjustments would be permitted only because of ongoing, long-term operational limitations, said PJM’s Alpa Jani. Staffing, for example, would not qualify as a physical operating constraint.
PLS exceptions will be used to address short-term, temporary issues such as equipment damage.
Adjustment requests must be submitted to PJM no later than Feb. 28 before the delivery year. If the situation arises after that date, a waiver must be obtained from FERC.
Members also reviewed PJM’s new soak time parameter. Soak time is defined as “the minimum number of hours a unit must run in real-time operations, from the time the unit is put online (breaker closure) to the time the unit is at economic minimum or dispatchable.”
Until the new parameter is added to PJM manuals, adjustment requests similar to the soak time definition will be documented in the minimum run time parameter, and soak time will be noted in PJM internal documentation so it can be updated when a long-term solution is implemented.
In a related matter, the Market Implementation Committee approved an issue charge presented by Bob O’Connell on behalf of PPGI Fund A/B Development to study the process of requesting exceptions to the default parameter limited schedule. (See “Parameter Limited Schedule Exemption Process to be Reviewed” in PJM Market Implementation Committee Briefs.)
The work will be conducted as part of regular MIC meetings and will seek to identify improvements to existing practices for requesting and obtaining PLS exceptions. The group is expected to recommend manual and possible Tariff changes to the MIC by April.
Members Mull Performance Assessment Hour Notifications
PJM also gave the OC a presentation in response to stakeholder questions about performance assessment hours under Capacity Performance.
Generators are subject to steep penalties for failing to meet their capacity obligations during performance assessment hours — periods for which PJM has declared an emergency action. (Base capacity resources are exempt from such penalties except during the June-September summer peak season.)
Members discussed the best way for PJM to communicate the start and stop times of a performance hour. PJM is proposing to post the information in a banner on its Emergency Procedures web page. The notice would direct resource owners to a page where they will be able to find what is expected of them.
Several stakeholders said the information is so crucial that an alert should be placed on the PJM homepage.
PJM Assistant General Counsel Jen Tribulski cautioned that the placement of the notice on the site would not affect market sellers’ responsibility to perform.
“You’re excused from the penalties during the assessment hours if PJM didn’t call on you,” she said. “If we’ve called on you and we have not dispatched you down, you are expected to perform, regardless of whether there’s any notification on our website.”
Also under review is a new signal providing a “desired” basepoint that would be used during performance hours, but it’s not clear whether the signal would recognize a resource’s economic max or unforced capacity commitment.
Members also were told that all units must operate under their local reliability constraints, but having to do so will not excuse them from penalties for not meeting performance requirements.
Charter Approved for Metering Task Force
The committee approved a charter for a task force charged with reviewing metering policies and requirements and implementing best practices.
The group will consider classifications such as real-time telemetry versus revenue metering, generator versus transmission system metering and large generation versus distributed generation applications.
The task force will report recommended manual revisions to the OC. Its work is expected to take six months.
FERC last week rejected SPP’s proposal to create a new class of seams transmission projects, saying its plan was too broadly drawn (ER15-2705).
The commission’s Nov. 30 order said that SPP did not distinguish “the criteria to be deemed a seams transmission project from the criteria to qualify under SPP’s Order No. 1000 interregional processes.” It said the revisions “do not contain any prohibitions or limitations to support SPP’s assertions” that projects eligible for its Order 1000 interregional processes may not be classified and evaluated as seams transmission projects.
FERC rejected SPP’s request to create a new class of seams transmission projects to supplement its approved highway-byway cost allocation.
SPP had proposed seams transmission projects as a new category to fill a gap in its transmission planning. It said the proposal would identify potential transmission projects that “may fall outside the Order 1000 interregional planning process or may not be eligible for cost allocation under SPP’s Order 1000 interregional processes,” such as projects involving external entities that are not neighboring planning regions.
SPP’s current rules designate transmission facilities of 300 kV or above as “highway” facilities whose costs are allocated entirely on a region-wide, postage stamp basis. Facilities between 100 kV and 300 kV are “byway” facilities, with two-thirds of the costs assigned to the host zone and one-third allocated region-wide. Projects below 100 kV are allocated entirely to the host zone.
SPP proposed to define a seams project as one operating at 100 kV or above and costing at least $5 million. It proposed a default regional cost allocation for such projects, with the RTO’s Board of Directors able to choose an alternate allocation at its discretion under certain conditions.
Xcel Energy protested the proposal, saying SPP had not provided “adequate analytical support” for the new category.
FERC agreed, saying the planning process for seams transmission projects “lacks clarity and does not adequately explain” how a seams project would progress from project identification to construction approval. It said SPP’s proposal for projects identified through joint special studies or coordination agreements “does not adequately define the methodology it will use to evaluate the project’s regional benefits.”
FERC said it wasn’t clear that regional review “will be transparent and include sufficient stakeholder involvement.”
The commission said, however, that SPP could make project-by-project filings for non-Order 1000 facilities that “may relate to seams concerns with an associated cost allocation and [justification for] the specific cost allocation.”
SPP legal staff expressed confusion over the ruling during a Dec. 3 meeting of the RTO’s Seams Steering Committee, saying it is “still digesting” the order.