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December 7, 2025

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NYISO Notes ‘Fluctuation’ of Outlooks for Grid Reliability

The NYISO Operating Committee voted to approve the ISO’s draft Comprehensive Reliability Plan (CRP), though environmental groups and the Market Monitoring Unit voiced concerns with the wide range of predictions, the lack of identification of needed market changes and the potentially growing disconnect between other planning studies.

An early draft of the CRP, issued Oct. 7, called for “several thousand megawatts of new dispatchable generation by the 2030s,” based on a broad range of possible scenarios for load growth and supply. (See NYISO Reliability Plan Calls for ‘New Dispatchable Generation’.)

The newest draft, which will go before the Management Committee on Oct. 29, accounts for the third-quarter Short-Term Assessment of Reliability (STAR) and its identification of an immediate reliability need for New York City. (See related story, NYISO Again Identifies Reliability Need for NYC.) It was approved over the opposition of the Natural Resources Defense Council.

“The way this is all being presented in this reliability report is going to create great levels of alarm and confusion,” NRDC’s Chris Casey said at the committee’s meeting Oct. 16. “The technical experts understand it’s informational, but I don’t think it’s going to be interpreted that way.”

In a newly added sentence to the draft, the ISO acknowledges that, “as demonstrated by the study-by-study fluctuation in the system conditions and associated risks, the NYISO’s current approach in evaluating the reliability of the system is no longer sufficient for future planning studies.”

Casey argued that while the CRP talked up the importance of a strong market to meet reliability needs, parts of the report gave the impression that markets will not be able to solve the need. Some of the recommendations would exacerbate the disconnect between reliability studies and the Installed Reserve Margin on which prices are based, he said.

“Your point is really well taken,” said Ross Altman, senior manager of reliability planning for NYISO. “We need to discuss with stakeholders which specific range of forecasts or any of these factors we should consider an actionable reliability determination. What we are trying to say strongly is that it shouldn’t just be based on one. Combine that with the narrowing margins, and we are on a knife’s edge with every analysis we do.”

Much of the committee’s discussion centered on how to quantify reliability risks on the grid and how this would interact with existing planning processes.

“I definitely share some of the concerns that were shared by previous commenters,” said Pallas LeeVanSchaick, vice president at Potomac Economics, the grid operator’s MMU. He said NYISO’s analysis acknowledges a broad range of supply and demand outcomes but treats them as “random events.”

“The reality is the role of the market is to help moderate excess supply or insufficient supply,” LeeVanSchaick said. “The reality is when you look at the risks of aging generation and lack of supply, by far the biggest factors for those outcomes are not the age of the resources but a mix of environmental policies and market incentives for maintaining the generation and repairing significant failures.”

Liam Baker, senior vice president of regulatory affairs at Alpha Generation, weighed in as “the owner of the largest aging fleet.”

“When these things break … they break in such a manner that they need to be completely rebuilt,” Baker said. “The replacement parts we use nowadays are bespoke. We are … cannibalizing our existing fleet. … We are literally cannibalizing Gowanus 1 and 4 to keep Gowanus 2 and 3 and Narrows 1 and 2 running.”

Baker said NYISO was “wise” to highlight aging generation, but he wanted to make sure the ISO and other stakeholders understood how dire the situation was: Replacement parts for the plants often have to be custom made — or even purchased on eBay.

Matt Schwall, director of regulatory affairs for Alpha Generation, said this point was “critical.” The retirement dates for Gowanus and Narrows, which drove the reliability needs findings in the Q3 STAR, were not based solely on environmental rules, he said.

“We are proposing to retire these units because they are no longer economic to operate,” Schwall said. “There are other things driving generator retirements other than being unable to comply with state regulations.”

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SPP Stakeholders Trim $2.5B from 2025 Transmission Plan

[EDITOR’S NOTE: A previous version of this story’s headline incorrectly said that $3.8 billion had been trimmed.]

LITTLE ROCK, Ark. — It took six votes during more than four hours of discussion — over the course of two days of meetings — before SPP stakeholders endorsed the 2025 10-year transmission plan and some of its proposed 765-kV lines, trimming about $2.5 billion in costs from the portfolio.

Members of the Markets and Operations Policy Committee on Oct. 13 first rejected their own proposal to defer the three southern legs of a proposed 765-kV overlay that would have shaved $3.83 billion in costs off the portfolio. They then shot down a motion to endorse the plan and the assessment report as modified by two stakeholder groups.

Neither motion received more than 57.5% approval, far short of MOPC’s 66.7% threshold.

After a night’s rest, SPP staff regrouped Oct. 14 during MOPC’s second day with three new proposals. They asked members to endorse:

    • the 2025 Integrated Transmission Planning assessment report as having been completed according to the tariff;
    • construction permits for the report’s 345-kV projects and three 765-kV reliability projects on the eastern and western legs of the RTO’s southern extra-high-voltage overlay; and
    • permits for the three 765-kV economic projects looping the overlay’s two legs together. The Crawfish Draw-Minco-Seminole-Anthem segments total about 515 miles and are estimated to cost $3.83 billion.

Referring the previous days’ voting “failures,” Casey Cathey, SPP vice president of engineering, asked MOPC for a “more clear and granular” direction for the Board of Directors to better prepare it for its consideration of the ITP when it meets in November.

SPP’s southern 765-kV backbone, including the Seminole-Anthem project | SPP

Staff have been studying about $18 billion in transmission projects as part of the 2025 assessment. The grid operator has proposed deferring $7 billion in 765-kV projects, reducing the portfolio to $11.16 billion for up to 50 construction permits to meet reliability and short-term needs. It has projected benefit-cost ratios of between 10:1 and 15:1. (See SPP Wants to Defer $7B in 765-kV Projects to 2026.)

Cathey reiterated the RTO’s cost-control measures and outlined several recent and in-flight tariff changes that improve the SPP’s cost-estimate process. He said the 2025 ITP’s 765-kV economic projects will have more control measures and conditions, including alignment with the 2026 ITP 765-kV overlay.

The grid operator was stung recently when cost estimates for its first 765 project, Southwest Public Service’s 345-mile Potter-Crossroads-Phantom transmission line that was part of the 2024 ITP, more than doubled from $1.69 billion to $3.62 billion. It took several more months of meetings for SPP to secure the project’s approval after SPS staff refined the RTO’s project projections. (See SPP Board Approves 765-kV Project’s Increased Cost.)

“We just went through that with the Potter-to-Crossroads-to-Phantom facility, so everybody has kind of a clear understanding of how that might work,” Cathey said, calling it a “good example” of SPP’s existing cost-control measures. “That project obviously came in higher for a number of reasons, but it also helped from benefits, cost-ratio and reliability needs perspective.”

MOPC members provided the “granular” feedback with their concerns on affordability, cost allocations, inequitable benefits and uncertainty about moving too fast or whether load growth slows. They questioned staff about the lack of analysis in the two motions to approve transmission projects and raised concerns about reliability concerns when 765-kV projects are set aside.

NextEra Energy Resources’ Jeff Wells objected to voting on separate construction permits rather than the entire portfolio.

“It was designed as a whole. It was studied as a whole, a complete portfolio. It works in concert,” he said. “Piecemealing it apart, simply because maybe we don’t like the designation, potentially, of reliability or economic [projects] … when you piecemeal that, you run the risk of losing the benefit that the portfolio has as a whole.”

“SPP has a really tremendous opportunity for growth with the industrial and technological developments that we’re seeing in this country; load growth as a result is also predicted to be tremendous,” said Jennifer Solomon, also with NextEra. “If we don’t build this portfolio as a whole, the development may not come, because what we’re seeing is that there may not be room for it. MISO, ERCOT and PJM are all moving aggressively forward with 765-kV lines just to keep up with the loads that they’re seeing.”

MOPC easily endorsed the first two motions. However, the motion to endorse the three 765-kV economic lines fell woefully short at 43.8% approval.

As staff mulled next steps, Director Steve Wright weighed in. He pushed for compromise among stakeholders and called for a better understanding of mitigating risks with large transmission facilities.

“One of the things that’s been ingrained in me in the three years on the board is it’s a hallmark of the board that we really want a high level of consensus,” he said. “We don’t have it here. The question is, what’s going to happen over the next couple of weeks? I really hope the Members Committee vote [an advisory ballot that precedes board votes] will not be the same vote as what we just had, because that just basically punts the issue to the board and is something that clearly there’s not much agreement around.”

American Electric Power’s Richard Ross echoed Wright in calling for a separate vote on the Seminole-Anthem portion of the 765-kV southern loop in the utility’s eastern Oklahoma service territory. The project is fast becoming a reliability project, Ross said, with 2.5 GW of load added to transmission service agreements after the 2025 ITP models were locked.

“That further solidifies that this will be a reliability project in the 2026 ITP,” Cathey said.

“I don’t want us to get away from this meeting without addressing that issue and mitigating the risk that we delay beginning work on that project as soon as possible,” Ross said, “begging” for one more vote “so that that message is clear to the board that we as a group agreed on moving forward with that particular project.”

MOPC endorsed the project’s approval and its projected $1.2 billion price tag, giving it 72.5% approval. Transmission owners voted 11-6 in favor, with one abstention, while transmission users approved the motion 45-11, with eight abstentions.

The committee’s actions reduce the 2025 ITP’s costs to $8.7 billion, SPP said. That still exceeds the record 2024 assessment, which approved permits for more than $7.6 billion in projects. (See SPP Stakeholders Endorse Record $7.65B Tx Plan.)

SPP COO Antoine Lucas promised staff will provide more information on cost-containment measures and risk mitigation as staff takes the ITP before state commissioners and the board, saying he understood the concerns being expressed. He said staff will continue to evaluate the $7 billion in deferred projects as load forecasts continue to evolve.

“This [2025 ITP] comes in the context of increasing strain on the existing transmission network,” he said. “The challenges that we’ve had to interconnect new generation and load without the need for tremendous new upgrade costs is a pretty good signal that the transmission system is at its limits. What we see every day in our [markets] is increasing levels of congestion, another very clear metric of very limited and — in some areas and cases — insufficient transmission.”

Staff have scheduled an education session for the Regional State Committee on Oct. 24. The state commissioners do not have any say over the ITP, but Cathey said the RTO will use the session to support any regulatory concerns or necessary additional policy.

The board will take up the package during its Nov. 4 quarterly meeting in Little Rock.

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IESO Seeks to Expand Commercial DR

IESO hopes to curtail 100 MW of commercial HVAC load in 2026 under a new program targeted at resources available during system peaks, but not for the full six-month commitment of the capacity market.

The grid operator outlined the Save on Energy Commercial HVAC Demand Response Program in an engagement session Oct. 16. IESO hopes the program, expected to launch in June 2026, will scale to 230 MW at commercial and institutional facilities (e.g., retailers, offices, universities) in 2027.

Program participants will be required to respond to up to 10 events of up to three hours on business days between June 1 and Sept. 30. The events will be “typically between 3 and 7 p.m.,” IESO said in a presentation.

They will be paid based on the average megawatts curtailed per season. Settlement will be based on local distribution company revenue meter data, using the average megawatt reduction from the top eight of 10 events.

Requirements

Program participants must aggregate at least 500 kW of demand response load capacity and be able to monitor and verify load reductions, collect metering data and communicate with “program contributors” — the end-use facilities reducing demand.

Following the ISO’s first engagement session June 24, stakeholders called for flexible load eligibility and onboarding support for participants. The program will offer an incentive of $20/kW to offset contributors’ costs for metering, monitoring and control systems.

Stakeholders also identified LDCs as “key partners for coordination [and] visibility,” IESO said.

IESO’s Mohammed Yousif said LDCs also can participate as aggregators. “We’re not … limiting who participates into the program” other than the minimum 500-kW load, Yousif said. “LDCs may decide [on] different approaches.”

Stakeholders supported a day-ahead standby notice with same-day activation by midday. A standby notice will be issued no later than noon the day before the event, with activation notices sent no later than noon on the day of the event.

Non-HVAC Resources

Yousif said the program rules will specify non-HVAC measures that also will be eligible for participation. “The program will be predominantly HVAC — maybe 75% comes from HVAC and 25% comes from non-HVAC,” he said. “Battery energy storage … related to curtailment of HVAC systems could be considered as well.”

Antoni Paleshi, senior energy performance specialist for WSP, asked how owners of new buildings can estimate their contributions without any energy history.

“This is a pay-for-performance program,” Yousif said. “We could use the first few events as a way to … assess the estimate that is provided and adjust accordingly.”

IESO expects to issue the program rules by the end of November and complete program readiness by April.

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PJM MRC/MC Preview: Oct. 23, 2025

Below is a summary of the agenda items scheduled to be brought to a vote at the PJM Markets and Reliability Committee and Members Committee meetings Oct. 23. Each item is listed by agenda number, description and projected time of discussion, followed by a summary of the issue and links to prior coverage in RTO Insider.

RTO Insider will cover the discussions and votes.

Markets and Reliability Committee

Consent Agenda (9:05-9:10)

The committee will be asked to endorse as part of its consent agenda:

B. proposed revisions to Manual 3A: Energy Management System Model Updates and Quality Assurance drafted through periodic review of the document. The proposed language reflects the sunsetting of the Data Management Subcommittee and its replacement with the Modeling Users Forum, which was intended to allow for a long-term perspective. (See “Stakeholders Endorse Manual Revisions Reflecting Creation of Modeling Users Forum,” PJM OC Briefs: Oct. 8, 2025.)

Endorsements (9:10-10:10)

  1. Wind and Solar Resource Dispatch in Real-time Market Clearing Engines (9:10-9:30)

PJM’s Vijay Shah will present a proposal to rework how wind and solar resources are dispatched in the real-time energy market. It would establish an Effective EcoMax parameter meant to more accurately capture how renewable resources are forecast to operate. It also would limit their ramping to 20% of their installed capacity per minute to reduce system volatility. (See “Renewable Dispatch Proposal Endorsed,” PJM MIC Briefs: Aug. 6, 2025.)

The committee will be asked to endorse the proposal and corresponding revisions to the tariff and Operating Agreement.

Issue Tracking: Wind and Solar Resource Dispatch in Real-time Market Clearing Engines

  1. Resource Scheduling Prior to the Day-ahead Energy Market (9:30-9:50)

PJM’s Phil D’Antonio will present tariff and OA language to implement the offer capping of resources scheduled in advance of the day-ahead energy market by committing them on their cost-based offers. The proposal was approved by the Market Implementation Committee during its Sept. 10 meeting with the intention of subsequently developing governing document language.

The committee will be asked to endorse both the proposal and the corresponding tariff and OA language. PJM would seek same-day endorsement by the MC if approved by the MRC.

Issue Tracking: Resource Scheduling Prior to the Day Ahead Energy Market

  1. Manual 14D Revisions (9:50-10:10)

PJM’s Michael Herman will present proposed revisions to Manual 14D: Generation Operational Requirements to codify FERC-approved requirements for resource owners seeking to deactivate their units (ER25-1501). If the resource intends to participate in capacity auctions, it must provide at least a year’s notice ahead of its desired deactivation, while those not participating would follow the must-offer exception process. The changes also would revise elements of the deactivation avoidable cost credit and increase the number of documents that would be posted publicly. (See “1st Read on Manual Revisions Detailing Generation Deactivation Process,” PJM OC Briefs: July 10, 2025.)

The committee will be asked to endorse the proposed manual revisions.

Issue Tracking: Enhancements to Deactivation Rules

Members Committee

Consent Agenda (11:05-11:10)

The committee will be asked to endorse as part of its consent agenda:

B. proposed revisions to the tariff and OA to allow demand response resources to offer regulation-only service at sites where energy may be injected onto the grid, so long as the arrangement is reflected in a net energy metering agreement with their electric distribution company. (See “PJM Reviews Proposal on Regulation Resources at NEM Sites,” PJM MRC/MC Briefs: Aug. 20, 2025.)

Issue Tracking: DER Regulation Market Only Participation at NEM Customer Sites

Endorsements (11:10-11:30)

  1. Resource Scheduling Prior to the Day-ahead Energy Market (11:10-11:30)

If endorsed by the MRC, D’Antonio will review the offer capping proposal for a same-day endorsement at the MC.

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DOE Lays out Roadmap to Bring Nuclear Fusion to Market

A new Department of Energy strategy seeks to accelerate progress toward the long-sought, long-elusive goal of commercially viable nuclear fusion power.

The “Fusion Science and Technology Roadmap” seeks to coordinate and align public and private efforts and is part of the Trump administration’s broader energy dominance initiative.

The roadmap identifies research, materials and technology gaps that must be bridged before a fusion pilot plant can be built. It sets out three primary ways to accomplish this that boil down to build, innovate and grow: construction of critical infrastructure; innovation through advanced research, high-performance computing and artificial intelligence; and growth of a fusion ecosystem incorporating public-private partnerships, regional manufacturing hubs and workforce development.

The roadmap identifies six core challenge areas to be tracked with milestones and metrics: structural materials; plasma-facing components and plasma-material interactions; confinement approaches; the fuel cycle; blankets; and fusion plant engineering and system integration.

The goal is to build the public infrastructure needed to support the scale-up of private-sector fusion generation in the 2030s.

DOE formally announced the roadmap Oct. 16, after it was unveiled earlier in the week during events centered on fusion energy in D.C.

Energy Secretary Chris Wright spoke enthusiastically about fusion and the new roadmap at the Special Competitive Studies Project’s AI+ Fusion Summit in D.C. on Oct. 14.

“We’re going to get the fusion ball moving,” he said. “I think we will see more progress in the next five or 10 years, much more progress than in all of the history before on fusion. We’re finally going to see the reality of fusion come, first in the electricity grid, ultimately in industrial process heat to make things, and hopefully we can rapidly scale that up.”

The new roadmap is aligned closely with and builds off the Fusion Energy Sciences Advisory Committee Long-Range Plan, issued in 2020. The roadmap combines the earlier plan’s science drivers with a revamped Fusion Energy Science public program in DOE’s Office of Science in hopes of bringing to fruition what has been a very lengthy effort.

As skeptics like to point out, fusion research and development efforts have not yet lived up to the hope and hype surrounding them. A running joke is that the world has been 20 years away from perfecting commercial fusion for 50 years.

Wright addressed this at the Oct. 14 summit: “I worked on it 40 years ago. It isn’t that we’ve gotten nowhere in 40 years. It’s just a hard problem to replicate the sun on Earth. … We’ve made progress over the last 40 years, and we’re about there.”

What is different now, Wright said, is that artificial intelligence presents the need for large amounts of new electrical generation capacity, such as through fusion, and a tool to help develop fusion generation; fusion R&D is attracting private capital, which is less patient than public funding; and the U.S. wants to lead the world on fusion, rather than see the leadership role go to China, which is making massive investments to do just that.

“What China doesn’t have is the commercial sector we have,” Wright said. “We have billions of dollars of private money in different companies, backing different strategies, with different biases. We’re going to naturally get a broader choice.”

DOE’s network of national laboratories can complement these private-sector R&D efforts in key areas such as developing the materials needed to withstand the intense environment of a fusion reactor, he said.

Wright said one of the obstacles facing this initiative is budget cuts. While he agrees with President Donald Trump’s push to reduce spending, he said cuts should be targeted at subsidies for existing technologies, not directed broad stroke at everything in DOE’s budget.

“And I’ve had the political challenge to sell ‘not everything,’” he said. “In fact, there’s things we spend money on today that we should spend more on, not less on, even though we have a big budget deficit, and basic fundamental science is absolutely one of those.”

The U.S. needs to come closer to matching China’s investment of state funds in AI, Wright said: “My God, the upside of it is just — it’s hard to imagine. So we need to continue to bring confidence and private money into it, but we need to bring more government money into it.”

DOE in its roadmap notes the billions of dollars of private-sector investment pouring into fusion.

The Fusion Industry Association reported in July that the 53 fusion companies it surveyed had raised a combined $9.77 billion in funding, a fivefold increase over their total four years earlier. More than $2.5 billion of that was secured just in the past year, it added. The great majority of the capital has been private, with not even $800 million in public finding reported.

But 83% of companies said they still consider investment a major challenge, and their estimates of funds needed to bring their first pilot plants online were a combined $77 billion.

They remain optimistic, however: 84% expect to deliver power to the grid before 2040 and 53% by 2035.

Twenty-nine of the 53 companies surveyed for the association’s 2025 “Global Fusion Industry Report” are based in the U.S., and all three of the companies reporting more than $1 billion in funds raised are based here as well.

Commonwealth Fusion Systems of Massachusetts has claimed a leadership position in the pack, with nearly $3 billion raised as of late August, or approximately 30% of the total reported by private fusion companies worldwide. It has announced plans to build what it promotes as the world’s first grid-scale fusion plant in Virginia in partnership with Dominion Energy, and has announced power purchase agreements with Google and Eni that would account for more than half of the facility’s planned 400-MW nameplate capacity.

DOE previously supported Commonwealth’s work through funding streams including INFUSE, the Milestone-Based Fusion Development Program and ARPA-E.

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NEPOOL Members Offer Amendments on ISO-NE Capacity Reform Project

NEPOOL members have proposed several amendments to the first phase of ISO-NE’s capacity market overhaul prior to the scheduled Markets Committee vote on the RTO’s proposal in November.

The amendments presented to the committee Oct. 16 include proposals to allow generators to submit capacity offers reflecting physical limitations during hot weather; adjust the methodology for calculating the capacity offer price threshold (COPT); and extend the length of time resources can hold onto interconnection rights while undergoing major repairs.

The first phase of ISO-NE’s Capacity Auction Reform (CAR) project is centered around shifting the Forward Capacity Market to a prompt design and updating the resource retirement process. The second phase is focused on accreditation changes and instituting a seasonal market. Both phases are intended to take effect in the 2028/29 capacity commitment period. (See ISO-NE Kicks off Talks on Accreditation, Seasonal Capacity Changes.)

Ambient Air De-list Bids

Bruce Anderson of the New England Power Generators Association (NEPGA) argued that ISO-NE should extend existing rules and practices allowing generators to submit capacity offers reflecting reduced generating capabilities at temperatures above 90 degrees Fahrenheit.

The RTO’s current proposal requires all qualified resources to offer all available capacity in annual auctions and would not maintain the option for generators to de-list capacity during periods of high temperatures.

“Without carrying forward the exemption, a resource will unnecessarily be required to submit a cost workbook for megawatts it is physically unable to produce at those high ambient temperatures,” Anderson told the committee.

To address the issue, NEPGA has proposed adding language allowing participants to “identify and submit a price-quantity pair(s) in a capacity offer specifically attributable to and up to the megawatt amount that the lead market participant expects will not be physically available due to ambient temperature effects.”

Several members of the generation sector expressed support for the amendment, while some stakeholders said it ultimately will be important to address temperature effects in the accreditation phase of the CAR project.

Chris Geissler, director of economic analysis at ISO-NE, said the RTO does not yet have a firm position on the amendment and still is considering the proposal. He added that ISO-NE’s existing proposal to not carry forward ambient air exemptions was motivated by a desire for more consistency across different segments of capacity.

Capacity Offer Price Threshold

Ben Griffiths of LS Power proposed a transitional methodology for calculating the COPT for the 2028/29 commitment period that he said would help address issues related to outdated price inputs.

The price threshold is intended to protect against market power; participants offering above the threshold price are required to submit a cost workbook to the Internal Market Monitor.

ISO-NE plans to maintain its methodology for calculating the threshold as it transitions to a prompt auction. Under the existing methodology, the 2028/29 threshold would be based in part on the prices from the last Forward Capacity Auction, which will have been held about four years prior to the first prompt auction.

Griffiths said he’s concerned this will lead to an outdated threshold value, especially after capacity shortfall events over the past two summers caused some generators to accrue costly performance penalties, which has caused some participants to speculate that capacity costs will increase in the future to account for these risks.

He proposed that ISO-NE set the threshold for the 2028/2029 commitment period at “at a fixed price of $4.984/kWm,” which “represents the simple average of observed clearing prices in the summer 2025 ARAs [annual reconfiguration auctions] and theoretical common value component estimates derived from the same auctions.”

The common value component equals “the expected value of scarcity revenues under [Pay-for-Performance],” Griffiths noted in a memo published prior to the meeting.

He said the close alignment of the ARA and common value component prices “supports a strong case for using this value.”

Responding to the proposal, Geissler said the RTO’s current proposal is to extend the existing methodology for the threshold. However, he said ISO-NE is amenable to considering transitional changes to address a time lag in the data, especially if there is broad stakeholder support.

Geissler said ISO-NE plans to consider changes to the threshold during the accreditation phase of CAR. However, if the RTO cannot finish the accreditation phase in time for the 2028/29 commitment period, and it identifies issues related to stale data used in the COPT, the RTO would look to address the issue prior to the auction, he said.

Also at the meeting, Andy Gillespie of Calpine reiterated his proposal for ISO-NE to base the threshold strictly on the common value component. He acknowledged that this could lead to a threshold value significantly higher than the clearing price of past FCAs but stressed that the threshold should be a forward-looking metric.

“This method is based on ISO-based, forward-looking, objective data” and is “often cited by ISO as the basis for calculating PFP opportunity cost,” Gillespie said, adding that the methodology could “be used regardless of auction format or accreditation methodology.”

Geissler said ISO-NE is not supportive of a broader change to the COPT methodology, which it considers to be outside the scope of work for the first phase of the CAR project.

3-year Rule

Griffiths also advocated for a change to ISO-NE rules that automatically deactivate resources that do not run for three straight calendar years. He expressed concern that recently proposed changes to the RTO’s repowering rules could cause resources facing extended repairs to lose their interconnection service.

Three- to seven-year wait times for turbines and transformers “make compliance with the strict three-year clock unrealistic for facilities facing catastrophic outages,” Griffiths said.

While resources could seek a waiver from FERC to ISO-NE’s three-year rule, “FERC’s waiver process is uncertain and ill-suited to this situation,” he argued.

Griffiths proposed introducing “a bounded extension” of up to six years for resources making “good-faith restoration efforts.”

To be eligible for such an extension, resources should have to demonstrate “due diligence, including at-risk expenditures, in pursuit of permitting, licensing and construction necessary to restore the resource to commercial operation,” he proposed.

Several stakeholders said they are open to the change but would want to ensure there is language to prevent resources from using the extension simply to hold onto interconnection rights and prevent other resources from entering the market.

ISO-NE agreed the issue warrants additional discussion but said it should be done outside of the CAR process.

Griffiths also offered an amendment to clarify ISO-NE’s authority over the interconnection rights of state-jurisdictional resources that have been inactive for more than three years. He advocated for new tariff language “to protect jurisdictional integrity” and to “enable equal treatment for state resources under the proposed deactivation language.” ISO-NE, however, said that is outside the scope of the CAR project.

Accreditation Updates

Also at the meeting, ISO-NE outlined its plans to calculate seasonal forced outage rates in the new accreditation framework.

Equivalent forced outage rate on demand (EFORd) is intended to quantify resources’ likelihood of having an outage when called upon and is a key input into resources’ overall accreditation value, noted Steven Otto, manager of economic analysis at ISO-NE.

The RTO plans to calculate EFORd values based on data from the previous five years. For resources that lack enough data, it plans to use class averages from the New England generation fleet to fill in any gaps, Otto said.

“Conceptually, the mechanics of seasonal EFORd calculations will be identical to the existing mechanics for annual EFORd calculations, except that the calculation will be done for a given season with historical data only from that season,” Otto said.

He added that “for most resources, the differences between their annual and estimated seasonal EFORd values are small.”

Maximum Capability

ISO-NE also discussed its methodology for calculating resources’ maximum capability, which “represents a resource’s physical supply capability and reflects changes in a resource’s capability due to changes in its physical attributes.”

To generate accreditation values for each resource, ISO-NE plans to multiply resources’ maximum capability by their marginal reliability impact ratio, which compares the reliability benefits of the resource to a hypothetical “perfect” capacity resource.

Maximum capability would be calculated seasonally in the summer and winter. In the summer, it would equal each resource’s maximum recorded hourly net output from the past three years when temperatures are over 80 F. Winter maximum capability values would be based on maximum hourly output when temperatures are below 32 F.

ISO-NE also plans to allow resources to schedule an audit to determine their maximum output.

For active demand resources, the maximum capability will be based on maximum hourly performance in the winter and summer from the previous three years. The temperature constraints would not apply to these resources, as they do not self-schedule, and are not guaranteed to run at their full capacity at a certain temperature in any given season, ISO-NE said.

The maximum capability for energy efficiency resources would be based on performance estimates from ISO-NE’s efficiency database.

ISO-NE said the three-year lookback period for maximum capability values should give resources that run infrequently enough time to demonstrate their full performance capabilities while also capturing recent performance trends.

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FERC Orders MISO to Describe Merchant HVDC Planning Considerations

FERC has ruled that MISO must name a point in development and describe how it will consider merchant HVDC lines in its transmission planning; however, the commission declined to order a more complete incorporation of the Grain Belt Express HVDC line in MISO’s recent transmission planning.

The directive to MISO was the sole issue FERC granted from Invenergy Transmission’s 2023 complaint, which sought to force MISO to consider the Grain Belt Express in its transmission planning (EL22-83).

FERC said Invenergy successfully argued that MISO’s tariff is unfair “insofar as it does not address when and how [merchant] HVDC transmission projects are incorporated into MISO’s transmission planning models.” The commission told MISO to decide on a juncture and explain how it would account for merchant HVDC lines in transmission planning and add it to the planning protocol section of its tariff within 90 days.

Elsewhere in its Oct. 16 order, FERC decided that Invenergy did not meet its burden to prove that MISO fumbled on its planning practices regarding the proposed 800-mile, 5,000-MW line.

Invenergy argued that MISO has an obligation to incorporate “advanced-stage” merchant transmission facilities in its base case analysis performed under the annual MISO Transmission Expansion Plan (MTEP) and in long-range transmission planning.

The company claimed MISO is forcing ratepayers to foot the bill on regionally planned transmission projects that could be redundant alongside planned merchant HVDC projects. Invenergy said MISO should not be able to ignore merchant transmission in its MTEP and long-range transmission planning exercises when MISO’s tariff prescribes that MISO should assess a “quantifiable benefit” of an “enhancement to the MISO transmission system.”

Invenergy had asked FERC to order MISO to edit its tariff so that it incorporates all advanced-stage merchant transmission projects in its annual and long-term transmission planning. It also asked FERC to direct MISO to perform an after-the-fact sensitivity analysis for MISO’s two long-range transmission portfolios that considers Grain Belt.

MISO said it performed such a sensitivity analysis for the second long-range portfolio and found no reason to change any of its project recommendations. FERC accepted MISO’s analysis and declined to mandate more studies.

Invenergy said MISO’s second long-range portfolio contains a 765-kV line in Missouri that duplicates some of Grain Belt’s capabilities. It said MISO planned the line over 2024 even though Invenergy had a transmission connection agreement with MISO. Invenergy also said MISO’s first long-range transmission portfolio from 2022 included three projects at a combined $1.46 billion in northern Missouri that would return just 40 cents for every dollar spent on them once Grain Belt is transporting power.

Invenergy argued that MISO’s interpretation of its tariff “leads to an absurd result and unjust and unreasonable rates” and that MISO’s decision not to account for Grain Belt betrays optimized transmission planning.

FERC said Invenergy did not demonstrate that MISO’s evaluation of the trio of projects was incompatible with its tariff requirements. The commission also noted that MISO assesses the benefit-to-cost ratio on a portfolio basis and doesn’t produce ratios for individual projects. FERC also pointed out MISO does not assess a line’s ability to cancel out lower voltage upgrades of 230 kV or below, per its long-range transmission planning procedures.

Commissioner Lindsay See, while concurring with the order, put MISO on notice that additional analyses are a smart move to prove the worth of several billion-dollar transmission portfolios.

“When billions of dollars in infrastructure projects are at stake, more confidence in the accuracy of MISO’s planning and cost-benefit assumptions is not too big an ask. Judiciously using sensitivity analyses to help ratepayers get the most value for their money may be one tool well worth its weight,” See wrote.

See said it’s unclear whether MISO “is providing stakeholders and the MISO Board with the best information possible to assess true grid needs” when it unveils a long-term transmission portfolio. She cited the pending North Dakota-led complaint questioning the value of MISO’s $22 billion, mostly 765-kV second long-range transmission portfolio. (See MISO States Split on FERC Complaint to Unwind $22B Long-range Tx Plan.)

Invenergy representatives have said for years in MISO public meetings that the RTO’s transmission planning modeling is deficient because it didn’t factor in Grain Belt Express operations. (See “The Grain Belt Express Question,” Members Call for More Tx Expansion Following MISO’s $20B LRTP Blueprint.)

MISO did not include impacts from the Grain Belt Express merchant HVDC line in any of its 30-plus annual models under its 2024 Transmission Expansion Plan. MISO said Grain Belt Express did not sign its transmission construction agreement until about three weeks after the Feb. 1 cutoff date for members to submit projects for inclusion in MTEP 24 planning models. (See FERC OKs Grain Belt Express Connection Agreement with MISO; Invenergy Displeased with 2030 Target.)

MISO said it would include only approved segments of Grain Belt in its MTEP 25 planning modeling. Some MISO stakeholders have said Grain Belt Express stands to deposit substantial wind energy from Kansas into MISO.

Earlier in 2025, the U.S. Department of Energy Loan Programs Office revoked a $4.9 billion conditional loan commitment for Grain Belt. (See DOE Pulls $4.9B in Funding for Grain Belt Express.) Invenergy has vowed nevertheless to move ahead with the project.

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Stakeholders Ask MISO to Pause ’25 Queue to Get a Handle on 4-Year Backlog

Stakeholders asked MISO to consider putting a hold on processing generation project proposals entering the interconnection queue in 2025 to focus on the bottlenecks formed from the 2021 and 2022 queue classes.

At an Oct. 16 Interconnection Process Working Group meeting, multiple stakeholders told MISO it may be prudent to wait to kick off studies on the 2025 queue cycle until it’s further along with the study of projects that entered three and four years ago.

New Leaf Energy’s Adam Stern said MISO has done a lot recently in terms of interconnection queue rule changes and wondered whether MISO can juggle all four queue cycles, its new automated study process and its more stringent requirements for developers.

“I think what we’ve heard recently is that the older clusters are still moving slowly because of their size and they’re subject to old rules,” Stern said.

He said MISO might consider pausing to pay “more attention to the older clusters” and clear out the backlog before turning attention to the 2025 entrants.

As of September, MISO’s interconnection queue contained 1,127 projects at 215 GW, down from more than 300 GW earlier in 2025. MISO leadership said to expect more withdrawals in the coming months due to the federal phaseout of renewable energy tax incentives. (See MISO Interconnection Queue Drops to 215 GW on Tax Incentive Phaseout.)

MISO’s 2023 cycle is down to 102 GW from the 123 GW of projects that entered. The whopping 171 GW of projects that entered in 2022 is down to just 75 GW, while the 77-GW 2021 cycle has been reduced to 38 GW. The grid operator skipped acceptance of a 2024 cycle while it tried to get a handle on study delays and design a megawatt-capped queue that could sort out projects over one year instead of three to four years.

MISO closed its application window Oct. 7 for the 2025 cycle and has begun reviewing the project applications for completeness. The cluster of projects will raise queue totals.

MISO staff at the meeting said the RTO’s prerogative is to work as quickly as possible to process the cycles simultaneously. However, Aneta Godbole of MISO’s resource utilization team asked if stakeholders wanted a future discussion on MISO possibly filing a FERC waiver to hit pause on the 2025 cycle.

Savion’s Abhishek Dinakar seconded the request for MISO to clear the backlog and finish the 2021 and 2022 queue cycles before focusing on the 2023 and 2025 cycles.

“It’s kind of an unworkable amount of uncertainty” in the analyses,” EDF Renewables’ Anton Ptak said of the RTO simultaneously trying to complete studies on four queue cycles, when cycles contain projects that are contingent on higher-queued projects’ grid upgrades.

Ptak said MISO should put as much effort as possible into finishing the legacy queue cycles.

“That’s critically important,” he said.

Clean Grid Alliance’s David Sapper said it makes sense to clear the older cycles. But he said he worried the “vibe” he’s getting from MISO is that it sees the 2021 and 2022 queue cycles as so complex and problematic that the RTO ultimately would conclude the answer is opening another queue express lane.

“I worry that it’s just setting up us for more” generation projects in the expedited queue lane, Sapper said.

MISO’s Kyle Trotter said MISO has no plans to continue the queue fast lane once it hits its 68-project limit.

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Nonprofits Warn of Potential TVA Privatization Ahead of Board Hearings

Environmental and social justice organizations have expressed concerns the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) could be headed toward privatization with a slate of board candidates assembled by the Trump administration.

The  nonprofit group Appalachian Voices is urging senators to question the four TVA board nominees’ intentions as to the sale of TVA’s publicly owned assets to private companies. The Senate Environment and Public Works Committee has a hearing Oct. 22 to consider board nominees. The nonprofit said it is concerned the potential new board composition could “sell TVA to the highest bidder.”

The Senate committee is due to consider:

    • Mitch Graves of Memphis, Tenn., a health care CEO who has served as a board member for Memphis Light, Gas & Water and maintains investments in multiple energy companies.
    • Jeff Hagood of Knoxville, Tenn., an attorney who has experience in criminal defense, injury litigation and representing university sports coaches and student athletes.
    • Randy Jones; Guntersville, Ala., an insurance executive who also serves on the Guntersville Electric Board.
    • Arthur Graham of Jacksonville, Fla., a member of the Florida Public Service Commission through Jan. 1, 2026, and a former city council member. If installed on the board, Graham would be the first TVA board member to live outside of states that contain TVA service territory.

Trump’s fifth nominee to the TVA board, businessman Lee Beaman of Nashville, Tenn., is not included on the agenda for the upcoming hearing and is expected to be considered later. Beaman is the former owner of a network of Nashville-area car dealerships and is a prominent Republican fundraiser.

For months, the nine-seat TVA Board of Directors has lacked a quorum. It contains just three members: Chair Bill Renick, Bobby Klein and Wade White. TVA requires five board members to establish a quorum and make decisions.

The Trump administration fired Biden-era appointees Michelle Moore, Joe Ritch and Beth Geer in the span from late April to mid-June.

The Trump administration previously proposed selling off parts of the TVA. During Trump’s first term, his team twice floated the idea to privatize some of TVA’s assets in budget requests for fiscals 2019 and 2020. At the time, the White House Office of Management and Budget reasoned that the private sector is better positioned to own transmission assets and that government ownership causes “sub-optimal investment decisions” and “unnecessary risk to taxpayers.”

Congress rejected both attempts.

So far in his second term, Trump hasn’t proposed the sale of TVA assets in a formal budget proposal. However, Appalachian Voices said it suspects the administration will pursue sales directly through the TVA board and CEO.

Appalachian Voices, along with Energy Alabama, the Sierra Club, Third Act Tennessee, Sunrise Nashville and multiple union organizations, hosted two virtual rallies Oct. 16 to urge the public to oppose TVA privatization.

In a press release, Appalachian Voices said it was apprehensive that the slate of candidates could sell off TVA’s assets. The group called the roster “largely unqualified” and said TVA needs “expertise on its board of directors, not pro-privatization auctioneers.”

“We urge senators to use this hearing and other conversations with the TVA board nominees to ensure they intend to keep TVA in the people’s hands, and to reject any nominees who don’t prioritize the interests of the people of the Tennessee Valley over billionaires and corporations,” Bri Knisley, director of public power campaigns at Appalachian Voices, said in a statement.

The Revolving Door Project, an executive branch appointee watchdog, said the Trump administration seeks to “stack the TVA governing board with a slate of nominees seemingly poised to do the bidding of his billionaire allies and corporate donors alike.” The group added that the Trump has “reinvigorated concerns over TVA’s privatization.”

TVA didn’t outright answer RTO Insider’s request for comment on possible privatization. Instead, the federally owned utility provided a fact sheet noting that it has fully self-financed through revenue from its electric sales since 1999 and does not contribute to taxpayer expenses.

“In fact, every year, TVA is a source of cash to the federal government, paying annual dividend-like return payments on the original investment in the power system,” TVA said. “The TVA model also results in savings every year for taxpayers across the country. TVA provides services that would otherwise be the responsibility of other federal agencies, such as river system management, flood control, navigation, land management and other related regional, multistate functions — without taking any annual appropriated funding.”

TVA said its management of reservoirs and recreation areas “serve as a driver for nearly $12 billion in total economic activity and more than 130,500 jobs.” It also said it “prevents more than $300 million in flood loss each year.”

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NERC Preparing Workshop on FERC IBR Order

NERC is seeking comments on the agenda for a virtual workshop Nov. 5 in which the ERO will review its response to FERC Order 909, including a standards development project that aims to meet the commission’s directives by 2026.

The commission issued the order in July, approving new reliability standards establishing frequency and voltage ride-through requirements for inverter-based resources. (See FERC Approves IBR Ride-through Standards.) One of those standards, PRC-029-1 (Frequency and voltage ride-through requirements for IBRs), allows owners of legacy IBRs — resources already in operation when the standard goes into effect — 12 months after the effective date of the standard to request an exemption to its ride-through requirements.

Reacting to comments by industry stakeholders on its proposal to accept the standard (RM25-3), FERC directed NERC to clarify, within 12 months of the order’s effective date, what evidence it would accept to demonstrate hardware limitations for legacy IBRs. Also due in 12 months was a determination of whether any additional exemptions should be made for HVDC-connected IBRs with choppers — used in offshore wind projects to protect converters during grid faults — and other IBRs with long lead times “between adopting IBR specifications and placing the IBR in service.”

NERC’s workshop will outline the history of the project for industry stakeholders and solicit input on the issues entailed. Discussion panels are planned on documentation obligations for legacy IBRs and equipment limitations of IBRs with choppers that prevent them from complying with the ride-through standards of PRC-029-1.

In the final panel, participants will discuss how long-lead-time projects should be identified; whether they should be defined in the standard or left to industry to determine; potential equipment limitations from such projects; and solutions or workarounds that could address those limits. Attendees will also have the chance to provide feedback through live polling.

NERC staff have also suggested the workshop can help inform industry of relevant issues as stakeholders consider the standard authorization request (SAR) for Project 2025-05, which will handle the FERC directive. At the Oct. 15 meeting of NERC’s Standards Committee, Director of Standards Development Jamie Calderon suggested extending the comment period for the SAR — which begins Oct. 29 — from 30 days to 45 days in order to give industry more time to consider the discussion at the workshop. (See related story, NERC Standards Committee Passes Revised Proposals.)

In its announcement of the workshop Oct. 15, NERC invited stakeholders to provide input on the agenda. Topics of interest to the ERO include factual data on the exemption process, equipment limitations of IBRs with choppers and long-lead-time projects. Comments should be submitted by email to Alison Oswald, manager of standards development; Lauren Perotti, assistant general counsel; or Sarah Habriga, standards development analyst.