The Bonneville Power Administration could end up revising its rates to tackle the financial fallout of a federal judge in Oregon ordering increased spill levels at eight dams on the Columbia and Snake rivers.
In the wake of the court-ordered injunction, BPA staff hosted a workshop March 30 to discuss proposed revisions to the 2026-2028 power general rate schedule provisions.
Before the injunction, the agency expected to end fiscal year 2028 with $397 million in financial reserves. But with the court order, if it were to take no action, the agency anticipates ending 2028 with $196 million in reserves, according to Daniel Fisher, BPA’s power rates manager.
“That’s a big number. There’s just no way around that,” Fisher said.
BPA’s financial reserves policy aims to maintain sufficient financial reserves and promote long-term rate stability. (See BPA Triggers $40M Surcharge Following Low Water Years.)
The agency said the court order changes how it operates its system and the inventory levels from what it had anticipated when it set rates for the FY26-28 period (BP-26).
To tackle the issue, staff presented several solutions, each of which assumes the agency is $85 million worse off in each year of the three-year rate period relative to the rates set under BP-26, according to their presentation.
Staff prefer a solution that includes collecting $125 million in expected costs upfront in fiscal years 2027 and 2028. The solution includes an end-of-year true-up provision that would return a portion or all $125 million if BPA’s financial reserves attributable to power are higher than 90 days’ cash at the end of each year.
Under the solution, called Conditional PNRR, BPA expects to end fiscal year 2028 with $392 million in financial reserves, $5 million lower than the pre-injunction results. Staff said they favor the approach because its last true-up occurs at the end of 2028 rather than at the end of 2027.
“This increases the chance that BPA will start the new contract with financial reserves at a level similar to that had BPA known about the court-ordered operations when it first set BP-26 rates,” according to the presentation.
Another solution would entail a new surcharge capped at $125 million. The surcharge “would trigger if fiscal years 2026 and 2027 ended below 90 days’ cash and would collect the difference up to the cap of $125 million in the next fiscal year,” it says.
Utility representatives voiced support for BPA’s efforts to address the financial impact of the court order.
Garrison Marr, senior manager of power supply at Snohomish County Public Utility District, said BPA moving quickly on the rate case process “helps us for transparency for utility planning; helps with risk reduction … and cost certainty in the context of the spill injunction.”
Marr said Snohomish leans in favor of the Conditional PNRR solution.
Chris Roden, director of energy resources at Clatskanie People’s Utility District, said he appreciates BPA addressing potential impacts early.
“It’s helpful for a utility that does concurrent ratemaking that’s largely driven by Bonneville to have a certain amount of certainty in our planning assumption, so that when we go through our own processes, we know what to bake in,” Roden said.
He added that staff have done a “good job” of not “getting stuck in the muck of politics, administrative outcomes. … Just sticking to the guns of good, prudent financial policy.”
BPA aims to issue an initial proposal in early May with testimony and supporting documents.
Court Injunction
The issue stems from a Feb. 25 court order in which U.S. District Judge Michael H. Simon granted a preliminary injunction sought by the states of Oregon and Washington, tribes and environmental groups. The order requires the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and the Bureau of Reclamation to spill large amounts of water over the eight dams instead of running it through turbines to protect migrating salmon and steelhead in the Columbia and Snake rivers. (See Judge Orders Spill at Northwest Dams to Aid Salmon, Despite Energy Concerns.)
The long-running case now concerns an environmental impact statement and a biological opinion from 2020 that the court ordered the federal agencies to prepare for the Federal Columbia River Power System.
In challenging the analysis, the plaintiffs alleged the Army Corps’ plan failed to adequately protect salmon.
The case was stayed under a deal plaintiffs struck with President Joe Biden, which included, among other things, $1 billion toward salmon restoration. President Donald Trump upended the deal in June 2025. The Trump administration said it would have several negative impacts on energy production, shipping channels and water supply for local farmers. (See Trump Directs Feds to Withdraw from Deal on Snake River Dams.)
When the case resumed, plaintiffs asked for injunctive relief beginning March 1, urging the court to require federal defendants to increase spill levels, lower reservoir levels and implement emergency conservation measures for the salmon.
In granting the request, Simon said the injunction includes a provision for the federal agencies to adjust spill for emergency power generation and transportation needs. However, he rejected arguments that increasing spill levels could impact power generation, saying the granted relief is “narrowly tailored and essentially maintains the status quo.”
